hooralph

What is happening

Are people still trying to make this storm happen?

Manhole fire season is about to take off. Gonna sound like 4th of July around here.

Last week the New York Times wrote about the weather app problem (spitting out raw model output) and yesterday the New Yorker wrote about the Forecaster Wars / influencer garbage on X. Those who know me IRL know I'm actually working on a weather app to cut through that bullshit and give people real guidance. This group isn't the audience though , your friends and family consuming the crap out there are.

OK these caught my attention. If you've never read this New Yorker piece about that quake (and the risk of another one), it's one of the best pieces of non-fiction magazine writing science you will ever read. It won a Pulitzer prize.: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one My first job out of college was working as a Guide at Monticello. I always managed to slip in Jefferson's weather diary and in the winter talked about this storm and the Christmas 1776 storm (he was at Monticello for it while Washington was crossing the Delaware).

Extrapolating the 84 hour NAM to save a storm threat is like rummaging through the medicine cabinet for cough medicine because you are out of alcohol.

The legacy of the Boxing Day storm creates false hope for a miraculous comeback just like the 2004 Sox give fan bases false hope about coming back from 3-0 down and the 2016 Pats from coming back 28-3 in the 4th Quarter.

This is for the best.

WOW

Tons of uncertainty, but pretty sure this is where we want to be 5-6 days out.

Evacuate the South Shore of Mass per this run.

Haven't been out in a few hours but continue to hear sleet pinging the windows here.

Yes. That was at 1:45. 7.2" at 1 PM is very defensible.