Castaway

Visually, Ida is essentially text book for an intensifying eyewall at present. You get deformation from isolated intense cells bursting within the eyewall, this leads to mesos. Also radar is still long range with the beam height above ~25 k ft at this time, so it is possible the reflectivity dbz of the core band will become more of a bright ring as Ida gets closer and the beam reflects from lower is the eyewall. We're essentially limited to the higher/most intense elongated cells at this height. Do more dominant meso(s) have an effect more or less of steer. Wobble more or less?

Currently based on Radar, with a possible more dominant northern vortex. This looks like currently it’s goin straight northly Dynamically it can pull some of the rest northerly in natural fluidity Next hour will be interesting

Buffing up cat 3

It’ll be a mixture of highly engineered drones soon I’m thinking. Later human presence will be then evaluated. there will be humans in the thing I’m guessing either way always obviously regardless

It’s been getting that other look now very recently. Looking more balanced wrapping around Into a more circular disk. It’s intensifying as we speak. if this took a step west yesterday right before Cuba between San Juan y Martinez and Sandino… we’d have a classic buzzsaw by now. edit: this is why I was focused a lot yesterday right before it was hitting western Cuba. If it jogged west just a bit before hitting land. The little farther westerly track would of had this set in buzzsaw prime mode by now. Low elevation. Quicker exit. More time. it’s been intensifying as we speak. Those light bumps yesterday chugged it a bit. Even if by mere hours

It seems the current track has the center going between San Juan y Martínez (which has a elevation of 70ft) And Guane which has an elevation around 82ft. If it was tracking more to the East, maybe the terrain there would of had a little more of an effect (200-300ft). Even then, it wouldn’t be that much imo. Edit: Looking at the last 2 frames it looks like it took a good step west. might go over Sandino area. Which has an elevation around 33ft.

Some nice tops by elk grove village

Have to see if it’ll close off soon. Based on Radar, it certainly has been trending in that direction and continuing. Can’t remember off the bat in recent memory seeing one close off right before/on landfall.

The line is losing some steam on its way to Chicago. Sucks. It had some nice frequent lightning and ctgs a bit ago.

Showing power outage in Boone county, IA. Cell looked impressive rolling through on radar earlier.

With dews above 70 today, a pop up is now getting steam and down pouring after midnight producing some faint rumble activity . Air smells phenomenal. Missed those nights for awhile now.

83 but it’s been feeling sticky today with dews around 72. Might get some thunder action soon in a few minutes.

The comma head looks really nice right now.

Shifted northeasterly towards us nicely past hours. Nice swirl on the velocity on the svr warned by Princeton. Showing some nice gusts

Not sure. It could of been debris being thrown around or some homes just had weaker siding or roof shingles that got affected more than others. But it seemed in one area it was more how the narrow track of high intensity was maybe touching down at parts. Or maybe other vortices very briefly spinned up near it. I remember going through Ranchview area or it might of been a little after it between rt53 and 355 seeing the narrow track on one side, with a couple homes next to it in generally good shape, and then a little more damage on the other side next to them. About a couple houses apart at most. Just what I noticed briefly going through that area as there was traffic and crews busy cleaning up. Plus some roads in the neighborhoods were blocked and detoured around a bit. Think it was Everglade Ave that was blocked off

I had a chance to go briefly through the area yesterday. Started in Naperville by 75th and Rickert and went east. You can tell there was a very narrow track of higher intensity. It seemed like in some areas there were other narrow tracks going along parallel with it that were a block or so apart but not sure. It was hard to tell. Some roads were blocked. Was a lot of action by the home that was leveled. Seemed like there was another one behind it too. Wide spread tree damage around. Tree canopies snapped near the main circulation. Saw a empty field/lot that had a row of trees down in the track before hitting homes where roads were blocked. You can already tell that some neighborhoods look different already from the substantial tree damage to the taller/matured trees around. They cleared out a lot and are making good progress. Didn’t get the chance to make it past 355 in Woodridge

Was not too far north when it crossed 83 to my south. Couldn’t see much on the way there. Started going down the path east in Burr Ridge by 55 and 83. Got a flat tire with 2 nails in the tire. Put the spare and came back home. Some roads were blocked by branches. Saw some duct work. Didn’t get a chance to go further south down towards the path. But seems it lifted/weakened not to far after that though. So far the damage looks worse just west where I got off 83

Going down 83 towards burridge saw cc drop

My girlfriend’s parents were evacuated. They are within .5 miles from the plant. They heard a boom and got alerts on their phones. Her mom was mad because her dad was taking time in the bathroom lol They packed extra things in case they can’t go back for awhile etc.

Was just outside for the annual town garage sale. Had pop up showers and Thunder going around us for awhile and it finally started pouring on top of us. Mowed the lawn yesterday with the tractor and was worried the grass would dry out. So this current down pour is very nice. Finally heard some thunder activity. Only took til June 11th around here lol

Definitely can feel the dry 90 today with the humidity at 23% and dews at 46. Didn’t break a sweat that much. And with the home ac system down at home. Nice breeze today too.

Warned now for Duval, McMullen and live oak counties in south central Texas.

Forecasted to be a future F5 lol. Googled extra info earlier and came across this: “The 1996 Oklahoma F-5 tornado was a major tornado that touched down 25 miles SE of Wakita, Oklahoma. The F-5 twister is the strongest tornado with wind speeds up to 300+MPH, the tornado developed after two systems (The F-4 Wakita tornado and one unknown system), the twister spawned in a field and believed the base was a mile wide.” Saw this as a tribute to Bill Paxton and thought it was cool https://mobile.twitter.com/Aaron_Brackett/status/835943665046540288?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^835943665046540288|twgr^|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fd-35557552943106266237.ampproject.net%2F2104170104001%2Fframe.html

Watching a chaser live on it. Looked like a nice scud a bit ago. But keeps driving out of view lol

Still love that movie. Love the soundtrack too. Remember when it first came out at blockbuster I was 12 and it was rented out. I ran back home to get more money and buy it on VHS instead. Still try to save it yearly to watch it when our first somewhat severe tstorm comes at night in spring which hasn’t yet. Maybe later this evening finally lol Speaking about F5s.. I’ve been rereading the May 22 2011 Joplin Tornado thread. What was strange is on pg 25 someone posted about the El Reno Tornado.... with it’s ef-5 rating being measured on radar. Couple posts down someone replied saying it’s because a research team used a mobile radar and got it’s surface to near surface measurements close to it. I was thinking wait wasn’t the El Reno Tornado in 2013? Are posters able to go back and edit their posts? Started double checking and saw there was another “ef5” in El Reno in 2011.. similar circumstances to the 2013 one. That’s remarkable. Surprised that slipped away from me. Was probably more focused back then on the April 27 outbreak and Joplin and completely glanced over the 2011 El Reno one being a ef5.