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Everything posted by buckeye
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
buckeye replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
If correct, the only thing that's gonna be rock'n in Feb is Wilfred Brimley on his front porch sipp'n some countrytime. -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
buckeye replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Epic blizzard for Pitt. 959mb, considering the Jan'78 blizz was 951mb over CLE.... pretty impressive...and unlikely -
Looks like 3-5 was the right forecast for Columbus area. Can't really call it a disappointment since I don't think there were too many calls for more than that other then some of the goofy model outputs.
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Probably closer to 3 then 4 here... now that I've been outside.
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Looks like close to 4" here. Not bad for a hungry weenie. This one was a fun one to track.
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freezing drizzle and sleet has turned to mod snow....radar looks great
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I'm pretty sure we had some drizzle. Means things maybe a bit further nw. Good thing. Also I think some models showed mixing in the beginning.
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Light pixie flurries in Westerville. And so it begins....
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fire up the radar time....yes, Im still feeling optimistic for Columbus area
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I think we got nam'd
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Damn, I always miss the fireworks
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That's right Steve is from Newark. Well at least apple valley is more east then Columbus.
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Where's Angry been?
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Dilly, are you still in Newark?
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Fair enough... 4-7" 5.87"airport
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I'm not gonna guess inches, but I feel pretty good about this one. Looking at everything on the 18gfs other then the precip shield position, it trended favorably including it's ens. I started optimistic on this and I'm riding to the end
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the 2 models I think worth watching the most now are the rgem and the nam, both of those at 18z came in pretty nice for our area.
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the snow amounts in the snow shield are so randomly placed, I wonder if that has to do with temp issues. It's not just the nam either
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just keeping it real but hoping for that small bump west in the last 36 hrs that often happens especially in a setup like this. if there was an arctic high behind it pushing in id be more concerned with an east bump. but we'll see
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Although we're riding the edge in Columbus, we are pretty likely to get our first 2+" snowfall of the season. We're going to continue to go back and forth because of where we are situated. We're not just in the game, we'll be going into overtime. As far as the HRRR, it's not just a joke beyond 12 hours, it's typically a joke beyond 3 hours. That said, it shows a 985 low over the eastern panhandle of WV, I'd take that any day.
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18z euro nice shift west
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pretty much yea....nam +48 18z run...that's usually when someone gets nam'd, we got null'd. Long way to go
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I'd say overall very slight changes for better today. Biggest disappointment was the ggem which was a near miss east for central OH and a small jump east with all the 500mb features. Sunday morning the closed low will be over the southern states. Gonna be a nailbiter the next 2 days. Have to dust off all the mesos and issue a radar hallucinations watch...conditions will be favorable.
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nam came in with a much better phase, pulling things further west.
