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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
First event of the 2013-2014 season. -
RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte.
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Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM
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Man, I’ve seen crazier things kinda like 10” in Durham before December 10th
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The NCEP SREF plume viewer page
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If there was ever a year an ULL could swing through and squeeze out an impressive QPF field, well, Wilmington is almost at 100” on the year.
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SREF Plumes have 3.63 as a mean in Raleigh tomorrow. You’re living dangerously if you use 3k NAM QPF IMO.
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18z RGEM also gives credence to this solution. In other news I may never sleep again.
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Although if that is nudged westward and I end up with the first week of December giving me 20”, I won’t complain ever again.
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Upper Level Lows do crazy things. You never know.
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Valentines weekend 2010 and don’t forget about last years coastal event -
I was thinking 86-87(actually I was fairly certain about that one) but was on the fence about the others. I usually go on the premise of you usually get one shot at a good one around here per year and we’re not even really in winter.
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With us just beginning winter, I wonder how many piedmont locations have had multiple snows of 6"+ in a winter.
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I could see that just being where the best lift and precip is located, kinda like the November snow in Lexington County in 2015.
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Only time I was ever in Columbia for snow you would've thought General Sherman was coming back through. Someone should warn them.
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Euro looks like another 3-4" tomorrow for Chapel Hill and Durham like @WidreMann mentioned. if it can manage to be pure snow, maybe 2-3" down around Charlotte and points S/E of the city.
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And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.
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Has a convective look on the HRRR
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ICON looks like at least another 2-3” on Monday
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18z GFS has me all snow until tomorrow at 18z. We’ll see.
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ICON had the same thing at 12z with second round
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Tomorrow is gonna be about rates, too. Heavier the snow earlier on the better chance it holds on just a little longer.