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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. Surface reflection on the ICON is south of 12z at 78.
  2. Yeah man, of course. I still have lots of people back that way so I try to stay up on it.
  3. I mean the EURO EPS number actually increased at IGX last run. I'm still learning this area and it's forecasting quirks but I really do feel okay about my location.
  4. Yep, started work at Duke this summer. Actually I dont think where I live looks too awful as I'm in far west Durham County.
  5. I didnt know I was completely out of the running until just shortly ago. Oh Well.
  6. A certainty 120 hours out? I get the pessimism if I was talking about Johnston or SE Wake but I still think North and West Wake plus durham and a lot of orange are still in this.
  7. And that 2002 storm had about two and a half inches liquid
  8. Control run crushes just about everyone somehow.
  9. ICON is now almost all snow here, looking at my extracted data.
  10. If they get a good bit of snow, you're gonna be surprised how quick town of davidson gets it cleaned up. I think you'll do well!
  11. I can remember last year when the difference in distance between my house and Wow's house was about 7 miles,give or take, and he ended up with more snow than I did in Davidson.
  12. I think you'll do well. What part of town are you in?
  13. I've been dying for a snowy Panthers home game since they came to town in 1996. They are out of town this weekend. No way this fails.
  14. I think this run was really good for those of us either on the N or NW sides. There's 18" totals just north of town here near Bahama.
  15. There's probably already half a foot of snow on the ground, at least, before this considers changing over IMBY.
  16. Cary is barely holding onto a snow sounding by 120.
  17. Charlotte looks like sleet by 120.
  18. Heavy snow looks like from Charlotte N&W at 114.
  19. Looks like everything is well within noise range with the last run through hour 90.
  20. The canadian always seems to do well with that too, not sure why.
  21. Extrapolating the UKMET out past 144, I think it would've ended up looking like some of these other runs of operational models that showed 20"+ totals across a majority of the piedmont. That is providing it stayed cold enough.
  22. thank god for 2" of QPF, right?
  23. I trust the NAM with thermal profiles in these situations, other details are much more iffy.
  24. I apologize if I missed this being mentioned but the UKMET had a significant snowfall increase on its clown maps at 0z.
  25. and I should've probably mentioned that when I was talking about the ensembles. If it's 2" of QPF, I could easily see it being 6" of snow and 3" of sleet. It could always change to rain but I cant see the surface warming that much with north winds for the duration.
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