BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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The pattern as depicted on the FV3 just keeps reloading, too.
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But the 498 thickness visiting NC is really rare. You have to admit that.
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My guess is the GFS is a POS. I dunno.
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I’ve seen a couple runs lately with the 498 line dipping into the state.
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ICON had something cooking at the end of its run.
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Actually, looking at it, 925 temps are at around -5 to -7 in the triangle so that’s sleet and not freezing rain before the snow. If I had to guess, the snow/sleet line is around hillsborough to just north of Durham.
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And it’s absolutely insane to consider an event like that. You usually don’t see storms that go from freezing rain to snow here.
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Also 2” total QPF. Snow totals around 3” in Durham County but much heavier just north and west.
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Starts off with warning ice accretion followed by heavy snow with temps around 20 followed by lows near zero.
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12z Euro is an absolute massive winter storm.
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FV3 not only agrees with the other GFS but looks better.
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I think you’re referencing Jan 2005
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We’ve definitely saw that before with similar air masses. Talk about a flash freeze.
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First of all, that’s the mother of all wedge fronts.
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Mid and Long range modelling looks pretty fantastic.
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That was a nice LR run for the midlands and coastal SC on the GFS.
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Honestly, it always makes me nervous for a mostly snow storm if it isnt snowing in Nashville.
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Someone smarter than me can speak on this but I swear I remember hearing there's something about the ICON's resolution that doesnt do well with CAD.
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I think the 6z ICON would’ve been a good run if it had ran out through the duration. It was snowing in Charlotte and Greenville at 120.
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6z EPS run looks significantly better than 0z. 2" mean line moved about 100 miles east.
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If ZR at 28 degrees was quickly self limiting then I didn’t lose power for a week in 2002
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And they’ve been the most consistent.
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Yeah if you’re anywhere from Greenville to the triangle, temps would be around 28-29 IMBY.
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Yeah, ouch if that’s true. Come on euro and icon.
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Every bit the snowstorm IMBY that December was and probably more. Some times the euro follows it(and vice versa) so we’ll see, I guess.
