BullCityWx

It got up to 67 at noon that day.

Usually no but it’s happened before. 11/11/13 is my example. I think we’ll see some flakes in my part of Durham County but hey, flakes in November is a win anytime.

Last time we saw appreciable November snow was 13-14, which is one of the best winters I can remember since 2000.

too bad it's all a GFS fever dream because kuchera maps have a foot that falls after dark IMBY

0.07 last night

Looks like the first two really nice days are coming this week.

Still can’t believe they started the game in those conditions

Fran? Hmmm.

Phillipe Papin thinks if Dorian continues on it's heading, MYR could reach the eyewall.

Hilton Head overnight: Time Temperature Dew Point Humidity Wind Wind Speed Wind Gust Pressure Precip. Precip Accum Condition 12:15 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % N 33 mph 47 mph 29.6 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Rain / Windy 12:35 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % N 38 mph 53 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 12:55 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % NNE 43 mph 53 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 1:15 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % N 36 mph 55 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 1:35 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % N 53 mph 67 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 1:55 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % NNE 44 mph 63 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 2:15 AM 75 F 72 F 89 % NNE 45 mph 61 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 2:35 AM 75 F 72 F 89 % NNE 47 mph 62 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 2:55 AM 75 F 72 F 89 % NNE 43 mph 56 mph 29.5 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Drizzle / Windy 3:15 AM 75 F 72 F 89 % NNE 39 mph 55 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 3:35 AM 73 F 70 F 88 % N 43 mph 58 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 4:15 AM 73 F 72 F 94 % N 43 mph 55 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 4:35 AM 73 F 72 F 94 % N 39 mph 60 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Drizzle / Windy 4:55 AM 75 F 72 F 89 % N 37 mph 58 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Drizzle / Windy 5:15 AM 75 F 70 F 83 % N 39 mph 58 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy 5:35 AM 75 F 70 F 83 % N 43 mph 58 mph 29.4 in 0.0 in 0.0 in Light Rain / Windy

KCHS N 43/G 61 KLRO had a 52 mph gust last hr.

KJXI appears to be malfunctioning. KLRO in Mt. Pleasant had a gust to 52 last hr.

KCHS N43/G61

Hope your family stays safe. Is this trajectory the worst case scenario for surge?

Wake Co is now under the TS Warning.

18z HWRF Comes inland about Ocean Isle this time and puts ILM, JAX and New Bern dead in its sights then to Swanquarter and exits around KDH.

I feel like the further south it makes landfall, the worse it could be for us. I still doubt that it's too bad in Western and Northern areas of the triangle but Johnston and Wilson counties and points east? Ehhhh.

looks like 6z HWRF takes it into between CHS and Georgetown up through Myrtle.

oy

It tracks inside pamlico sound and exits between Buxton and KDH.

Euro looks like a bad scenario from about MHX up to the lower OBX.

Someone from the low country can correct me if I'm wrong but isnt this the worst possible angle for them for storm surge?

185MPH/911MB at 12:45