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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte.
  2. Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM
  3. Man, I’ve seen crazier things kinda like 10” in Durham before December 10th
  4. The NCEP SREF plume viewer page
  5. If there was ever a year an ULL could swing through and squeeze out an impressive QPF field, well, Wilmington is almost at 100” on the year.
  6. SREF Plumes have 3.63 as a mean in Raleigh tomorrow. You’re living dangerously if you use 3k NAM QPF IMO.
  7. 18z RGEM also gives credence to this solution. In other news I may never sleep again.
  8. Although if that is nudged westward and I end up with the first week of December giving me 20”, I won’t complain ever again.
  9. Upper Level Lows do crazy things. You never know.
  10. Valentines weekend 2010 and don’t forget about last years coastal event
  11. I was thinking 86-87(actually I was fairly certain about that one) but was on the fence about the others. I usually go on the premise of you usually get one shot at a good one around here per year and we’re not even really in winter.
  12. With us just beginning winter, I wonder how many piedmont locations have had multiple snows of 6"+ in a winter.
  13. I could see that just being where the best lift and precip is located, kinda like the November snow in Lexington County in 2015.
  14. Only time I was ever in Columbia for snow you would've thought General Sherman was coming back through. Someone should warn them.
  15. HRRR is further south than the Euro
  16. Euro looks like another 3-4" tomorrow for Chapel Hill and Durham like @WidreMann mentioned. if it can manage to be pure snow, maybe 2-3" down around Charlotte and points S/E of the city.
  17. And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.
  18. Has a convective look on the HRRR
  19. ICON looks like at least another 2-3” on Monday
  20. 18z GFS has me all snow until tomorrow at 18z. We’ll see.
  21. ICON had the same thing at 12z with second round
  22. Tomorrow is gonna be about rates, too. Heavier the snow earlier on the better chance it holds on just a little longer.
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