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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Radtechwxman
    FV3 has been pretty consistent and now has nudged more north. Very interesting. Likely a bit overdone though. But definitely wishcasting for this to verify. Lol
  2. Radtechwxman
    Certainly looking potent for you guys. Nearly every model has double digits. LSR's may be low but so much moisture and long duration
  3. Radtechwxman
    That was a whole different animal. That was a strong mid latitude cyclone with a classic trowal. This is more of an upper level low with the surface reflection much further south. An inverted trough extending from the low is allowing the snow to fall a lot more north of surface low
  4. Radtechwxman
    18z was yes. But I posted that before 18z was out. Was referring to 12z runs
  5. Radtechwxman
    Not really sure models ticked south with the upper level or surface features. More like the higher accumulations weren't as north. Likely due to the very dry air mass eating away at the northern precip shield
  6. Radtechwxman
    Totally understand that. But better when you have cold temperatures during the day. These are pretty marginal
  7. Radtechwxman
    Not sure that's great. Lol. Temps will be warmer with lower ratios
  8. Radtechwxman
    Anyone notice how much slower the snow arrival is on 3km nam? 12km nam brings snow into me around 12-1am versus 3km which is around 7am
  9. Radtechwxman
    As I expected watches were confined south. Still looks like a solid advisory event here
  10. Radtechwxman
    Can you believe I haven't seen a double digit snowfall here since GHD Blizzard 2011? Have got close but no cigar. Would be awesome to get walloped again one of these days. But inverted troughs are notorious for over performing so maybe we could be in for a surprise. Compared to the 12z run which had 7in+ here it has backed off some but still a high end advisory/low end warning snow
  11. Radtechwxman
    Is there a kuchera snow map for Euro? For some reason I can only see a 10:1 map on weathermodels
  12. Radtechwxman
    Yea this is likely going to be quite an event for STL. Assuming we will see watches issued tonight. I'm not overly confident on warning criteria this north yet but my early guess here is 3-5in with locally higher possible
  13. Radtechwxman
    One second too late. Lol. Just found it. I actually just deleted my comment. Lol. But thank you!
  14. Radtechwxman
    This system has good access to the Gulf though and Euro/Nam have shown this with seasonal high qpf and pwat values. But wondering if the major dry air coming from that arctic high is really going to impact totals
  15. Radtechwxman
    0z gfs really brought the accumulation further north but overall is light on qpf compared to other models
  16. Radtechwxman
    Des Moines is another city who has largely missed out by short distances
  17. Radtechwxman
    Curious how far north they would have them. Knowing them probably only to I72 but I think they could up to I74
  18. Radtechwxman
    WPC has the high positioned pretty north on their forecast maps. But if that high ends up further south I agree it will make its presence felt with major dry air and hold that precip shield south. Whoever is on the northern fringe of that shield is going to see a sharp cut off
  19. Radtechwxman
    Well it gives me more snow so I'm happy. Lol. Guess we need to root for nam. But yes I see what you mean. It is pretty flat. Nam has that southern vort really wrap up
  20. Radtechwxman
    0z gfs def came north with heavier accumulations. Nothing like nam but a step in the right direction
  21. Radtechwxman
    Yea I'm not getting my hopes up at all. But maybe nam is sniffing out an earlier phase? one can dream right?
  22. Radtechwxman
    Man 0z nam is really something. Is it on crack or into something? It isn't in it's good range so not sure I believe it's very amped/moisture laden solution. But man this would be awesome. Large area of warning criteria snow
  23. Radtechwxman
    This deformation band fell apart relatively quickly. Sooner than I expected. Think I may be on the lower end of my snow totals but still a nice storm. Had periods of blizzard conditions and insane snowfall rates
  24. Radtechwxman
    You and me both! Just had this absolutely wicked band come through here. Easily rates of 2in/hr and wind gusts of 45mph+. Visibility was half to quarter mile. It went through way too fast. Was hoping it would park over me
  25. Radtechwxman
    Yea hasn't panned out how I hoped. Probably will be on lower end of forecast totals. But still has been nice seeing near white out conditions at times
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