cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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Nailed it
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Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
cyclone77 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah the tracking was pretty fun, but overall it was kinda meh. Still a lot of red numbers on this map unfortunately, even after the busier pattern. EDIT: Also looks like it's been a bummer winter up where Bo is. Haven't seen him around here for awhile, guessing he quit the site again?
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Was pretty legit out there for awhile with that WAA bump. Picked up a quick inch with some nice near-blizzard action out in the open country. As expected tomorrow looking like a strung out POS, so additional snowfall prob <1" for this area.
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-6 here this morning, but have already bumped back up to 1 above as WAA has commenced.
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Gonna stick to my original 1-2" call for here/QC. Normally sort of a non-event, but should make it the 2nd best event of season.
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Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here
cyclone77 replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Back on the futility hype train for me. Gotta have something to root for right? Just gotta make it through the next 5-6 weeks without too many nickel and dimers. -
Starting to look kind of DABish to me for this area. WAA looks like it has weakened or shifted north compared to earlier model cycles which clobbered us with potent band of intense WAA snows. The Saturday stuff looks like a strung out POS mess until things organize off to the east.
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Wish I could buy into what the FV3 is selling lol
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3.3" the total here, up to 8.3" for the season. 2.3" at MLI, up to 5.9" for the season. 4.5 at DVN, up to 10.8" for the season.
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I'll go 1-2" first guess. That's with 1st wave. Like Hawkeye I have low expectations with main wave. Prob DAB or heavy overcast with that part.
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No that's probably what's coming for Iowa City and Cedar Rapids
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Around 3 inches now here. This final band is holding on nicely
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Since today's system significantly underperformed compared to how it was looking a few days ago futility is still technically on the table for MLI. So far today they've officially picked up only an inch. Will probably end up with <3" for the storm total, which will keep seasonal total <6.5". With the way things are going the Fri-Sat system will find a way to miss or underperform. After that who knows how things go.
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Best snowfall of the day right now. Maybe we can tack on an inch before the back end sweeps through.
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Perhaps 1.5" here. The 4+ hour period of nothingness this afternoon really cut into totals.
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Got about a half inch to 3/4" down so far looks like. Wind whipping it around out there.
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Still garbage here.
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Looking more like 3-5" for the QCA at this point. Solid event overall. Rates are probably gonna be pretty wussy for most of the event, but over the course of 18hrs we should build up a solid advisory criteria event. DVN going down with the ship and riding out the warning, which will likely bust for the southeast 2-3 of the cwa.
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Not digging how this one comes together overhead. Any delay in that and will be a complete whiff to the east for this area.
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Pretty big difference across Iowa this morning with 25 in the southeast, and -13 out in northwestern Iowa.
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6z Euro ticked down again. Hopefully the bleeding stops at some point. DVN still going with 6-8" across the board, but that seems a bit high at this point unless model QPF ramps up again last minute.
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Even if trends continue and it only shits out 3" here that'd still be 3x better than anything else up to this point.
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Hmmm, maybe should have stuck to my original 4-6"
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Wow that's quite a bit different than what DVN's disco mentioned early this morning. Guess we'll just split the difference and go with 15:1 lol
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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I was all aboard the futility train for sure. Taking 3.6" of snow into almost mid Feb, there was a legit shot at attaining the all-time low snowfall with how horrible things had been going. I'm just glad we aren't going to nickel and dime our way to just above the futility record like I had feared.
