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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. Jeez the local CBS station in Toledo going with 3-6” for this one. That sounds crazy just going on moisture availability alone honestly. I mean while a legit blizzard with 10-15” would be awesome from an enjoyment standpoint, it’s hard to fathom predicting what amounts to a strong clipper out of this
  2. Yeah the baroclinicity was really one of its main selling points on being a big dog
  3. Which is where it’s highest totals are projected in Ohio. Also the last storm put its highest totals down much further south where moisture is more abundant than the I-80 corridor. Just hard to believe in a cutter dropping that much snow in this area when typically the big dog storms have an Indy to Cleveland type of tilt to it
  4. Just not buying these high amounts with such an E-W direction. The Euro seems most realistic with its negative tilt
  5. I’m actually shocked the local news showed model outputs here in Toledo. With that being said if we do get 10-15” with winds it’ll shut this area down for days, especially considering how flat and open NW Ohio is
  6. Really? Perrysburg is closing in on 3” currently
  7. I think Toledo will break light accumulations. Wouldn’t be shocked if we finish at 4-5”
  8. Snowing pretty good here as well I’m your old neighborhood up by the Franklin Park Mall. Can only imagine what the snow rates towards BG are
  9. Yeah I deal with a lot of Lean and Six Sigma in the auto industry and a -4 is pretty significant
  10. What's the cumulative probability on something 4 standard deviations away? Has to be well below a percent
  11. Warm December’s lead to cold January’s typically. I will say this has been one of the more pleasant December’s I’ve seen in Ohio, not very windy at all and tons of sunshine considering
  12. Agreed. I can’t remember a November with more sub 20 temperature readings either. Will be interesting as we progress into the winter if this leads to a mild and warm Jan/Feb as the pattern changes
  13. Agreed. I cannot ever remember a November like this with constant snow throughout
  14. There has to be a monster north of Natchitoches. Thing has a legit donuthole on the reflectivity, usually only seen with strong tornadoes
  15. Such an odd month. Incredibly warm with July type weather to start, and then the back half has been nothing but chilly. Cannot believe we hit 85° just 16 days ago
  16. Funny to see these videos, on Saturday we hit 60+ mph winds heading to West Lafayette for the OSU-Purdue game. I see on the storm reports it had a confirmed 64 mph gust and it definitely verified. Downdraft was so strong it brought snow down to the surface at 41° degrees and was downing trees all over
  17. Interesting to see that high just sitting off the coast this time of year, it’s essentially a July weather pattern happening. Everybody is probably going to get sick in the middle of the week as that cold front puts us at true Fall conditions
  18. These storms associated with line will struggle until they reach Ohio. Too much CIN over IN
  19. If anything can fire ahead of this line it’s going to get very dicey in this area. I cannot believe the spin for that storm around Monroe
  20. Sun for the last few hours just south of Toledo. I really am quite concerned with how this is unfolding that we’re going to have a serious situation this evening. The way that shortwave is moving in, combined with CAPE at the surface of 2000 j/kg this has all the makings of a mini outbreak this evening
  21. Eh the tornado threat tonight for the OH/IN/MI area is more based around the low really pumping in warm air and kicking storms off ahead of that cold front via a shortwave. That’s why there is more curvature in the hodographs than out in the western areas
  22. A little concerned about the atmosphere getting worked over tomorrow, but this is a textbook NW Ohio fall tornado day shaping up if we can avoid too much precipitation
  23. Storm looks better than ever as it makes landfall. I question the wind speeds as the gusts and overall wind package is very suspect
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