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nwohweather

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Everything posted by nwohweather

  1. nwohweather
    1-3" for Toledo area on the advisory is joke. 3-5" would be the solid bet
  2. nwohweather
    The DGZ seems so shallow with this system though I can't see it being too much higher than 10:1. 13:1 is probably correct
  3. nwohweather
    The Euro never was showing it so you should consider basing forecasts among a blend of guidance and not just a couple. This by no means should be shocking
  4. nwohweather
    Well personally a fan of this trend for Northern Ohio. But it should be expected, storms of this ilk seem to always go over Cincy and deliver a heck of a shot to Detroit, Toledo, Cleveland. We'll see how it transpires but 3-6" with mixing down towards Findlay seems accurate
  5. nwohweather
    Interested to see what the Euro does but I believe at the moment the GFS and NAM are trash. Too much dry air for a storm with ample gulf flow digging hard out of the Panhandle region being shown, I don't really buy it.
  6. nwohweather
    Nah I consider it April 1st here in Northern Ohio. March is still usually quite chilly until towards the end of the month
  7. nwohweather
    What a remarkable day outside. Only really two months until Spring guys
  8. nwohweather
    Kind of a weird storm. Really strong low, but little precip on the cold side
  9. nwohweather
    Yesterday the Toledo area was hit by a meso-low off Lake Erie https://twitter.com/NWSCLE/status/1222945865188294656?s=20
  10. nwohweather
    Looks interesting. Certainly a few storms upcoming
  11. nwohweather
    Just give me some cold so I can play hockey lol
  12. nwohweather
    Well well things definitely trended up for me in NW Ohio! I really like the consensus of 4-6" here in Toledo
  13. nwohweather
    2011-12 was a lovely winter in my opinion. It does stink when the snowmobile and ice skates stay in the garage but the weather was beautiful and sunny which was a nice reprieve considering what was on the horizon. I think 2013-14 was honestly overwhelming, the constant snow and cold just wore you down. I do like snow, but 86" was too much for me
  14. nwohweather
    I believe it is due to the abnormally dry air off to the east of the low. Typically the cold conveyor belt moistens as it flows under the warm conveyor belt when wrapping around a storm and dries off a bit turning into snow on the backend of a low. This is honestly a perfect CAD example as you can see how as this moves east it drops freezing rain/sleet all over the Apps
  15. nwohweather
    It isn't here yet? Honestly one of the more mild winters I've seen temperature wise. Would not be shocked at all to see this be a backloaded winter though, it has all the hallmarks of that happening
  16. nwohweather
    Yeah I guess there is that baby low sweeping through tomorrow. Regardless of accumulations, that is one heck of a shot of freezing rain/sleet that goes through Northern IL/IN/OH on the Euro Friday night-Saturday morning. That alone is enough to cause significant travel impacts
  17. nwohweather
    It wouldn't shock me if this does trend south, typically in a loaded pattern your rule of thumb is storms keep going south of previous ones. Not always correct, but typically your cold is entrenched enough to kind of guide the low. If anything I don't like the dry air off to the east. It could eat into some snow totals a bit
  18. nwohweather
    Well I'm going less on models, and more on actuality here. It may be a Colorado Low with a solid gulf stream of moisture, but there are three streams at play as always which can make a big difference on different sectors of the storm
  19. nwohweather
    As I said earlier it is kind of weird to have such a strong high immediately to the Northeast instead of back to the west. What I do wonder with two of the three conveyor belts being drier air do you guys think it will lead to a colder and drier storm than is currently being modeled? My thoughts are that QPF is going to drop or be less than what is expected because of this
  20. nwohweather
    Kind of wild to see the ridging that enforces the cold air ahead of this thing, should lead to quite a bit of CAD east of the Appalachians. Worries me quite a bit with moisture content, I know it has a solid flow out of the gulf but sucking cold dry air in from the Cold Conveyor Belt has me nervous, that moist air is key to heavy snow totals
  21. nwohweather
    Hmm looks much better. Anything to give me a reason for working from home for a few days I'm here for. Classic 6-10" heavy snow event for this area at this point
  22. nwohweather
    What is unacceptable about it? Reminds me of the line Joe Bastardi of Accuweather used to say, "Enjoy the weather because it's the only one you get." Regardless it is an ENSO neutral winter with temps running a little bit above average, not a solid La Nina delivering clippers like a automotive assembly plant. Wouldn't be shocked if February absolutely roars
  23. nwohweather
    Not shocking after the extended cold seen in November and December that it’s mild from late Dec-mid Jan
  24. nwohweather
    Wild storm. Snowstorm, then sleet, then line of storms followed by a monster front and a nice lake effect event. Weird storm
  25. nwohweather
    It showed much deeper convection on the models than what we are seeing
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