Jump to content

LongBeachSurfFreak

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,491

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    A couple of sleet pellets mixed with rain currently on the uws. Looking forward to warmer days.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Which is impossible over thousands of miles of boreal forests in northern Canada. Just like the fires last summer couldn’t be put out. There is zero infrastructure, no roads, thousands of lakes and bogs not to mention mosquitoes swarms that block out the sun.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    He would have died eventually from arsenic poisoning. He was subsisting exclusively on rats which are loaded with arsenic from eating bait traps. The rats are building an immunity to rat poison over time.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    What a would give for a VEI 7 in our lifetime. Obviously somewhere unpopulated. Say Kamchatka. I would love to walk across the Hudson to New Jersey, something that happened regularly in the LIA. Solid snow pack from mid November to mid April. The kind of winter you now have to go a thousand miles north for or over 3000’.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m fairly confident we are going to see a historic season. The only hindrance from record breaking may be a Nina background state lag early on. Once to peak season, we should fire on all cylinders. I can see a 2017 type parade of high end storms tracking out of the MDR. Bermuda high placement will determine if it’s a CONUS year.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Thanks for sharing. I too am in recovery. We are passionate people. As you stated a big part of recovery is learning redirect that passion in positive ways. You do a great job of that with your seasonal forecasts which I enjoy every year. Congratulations on 10 years, that’s an amazing accomplishment!
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m sure you would have said that in 97/98 when NyC was at .5” and on the way to the record only to have that 5” storm in March. March is volatile and probably the hardest month to forecast far out due to the shortening wave lengths. It’s not over yet.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    97/98 was full of benchmark rainstorms. Little bit different scenario, with the entire continent flooded with pacific air, but same net result.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, while not a full rat winter, this has been more of a Richmond Virginia style winter.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    About 2” on the uws, which was exactly my forecast. Curious to see what we got on the south shore. I bet the barrier islands were the winners with close to 6”.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Boxing Day was definitely more of a true blizzard than 2016. Winds, visibility, temps and drifting make a blizzard more so then just total accumulation . Boxing Day was far superior in all those categories. It also had a much larger impact on the average NYer with many neighborhoods unplowed and impassible for days. Basically moderate pixie dust on the uws
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    About 1” on the uws, can’t get above moderate rates. All surfaces snow covered however
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Light snow on the uws. Based on the radar trend on the heavy band looks like this area is going to just a little too far north for the best snow. At home on the south shore of the island we should be in the northern part of the best banding. I’m thinking a Monmouth county jack for our area, it’s been a while!
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ballistic hurricane season upcoming. May start off slow with the lingering nino effects, but peak season could produce record ACE. Lots of tracking coming.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There are two manhattans. From the north end of the park north, does just fine in marginal events. The northern tip of Manhattan is Almost as far north as the northern Bronx. Midtown south is another story. Concrete jungle.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    A few flurries in lynbrook. Usually with a clipper track like this we would just have drizzle.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Should drop at least an inch in the poconos then start to break apart. Wouldn’t be surprised if within 20 miles nw of the city sees a coating. In the city temps are too marginal unless it really comes down.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah, cold and snow cover, makes more cold and snow cover. Kind of how snow ball earth was a runaway feedback cycle to cold. You have record low snow cover over our cold air source region. That’s going to increase solar absorption. We are lucky we even made it to double digits snowfall wise. This could easily have been 97/98 up in till now (.5” cpk)
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Way too early to say that with a definite answer.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The really incredible part is the UP of Michigan. That’s snow heaven. I’m sure they average like a 50” snow depth in February.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I measured 5” on the uws average of 10 colder surface measurements. Broadway was plowed here. Whole other world north of the park
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Completely different world a few miles north on the uws. 5” and even Broadway was snow covered and plowed
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Broadway on the uws is currently snow covered. Legit heavy snow currently
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It was moderate sleet in lynbrook when I left for work (snow removal) at 230. Currently moderate snow UWS with nice big flakes. Getting a coating on the grass.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think one more is more realistic. But might as well shoot for the stars. Would be nice to at least crack double digits at CPK
×
×
  • Create New...