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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. I have watched so much seed and fert wasted in heavy rain. You want a prolonged light to moderate strataform rain to soak it in. .
  2. Yeah likely an abrose jet later which will kill our storm chances. I expect a nice broken line with isolated severe over nj and the Hudson valley to hit a brick wall .
  3. One of the most underrated invasives. On Long Island they produce pure stands. Very easy to see early and late as they are often the only foliage. They are also short lived and brittle. It’s too bad they were so extensively planted during the suburban sprawl of the 50/60/70s in the NYC and BOS Mets. .
  4. Then it would have produced. Now it’s just a waste. Raw east winds and misery mist. No thanks. .
  5. No way. That was our best shot at 80. Currently the Sw wind vector isn’t so bad the further west you get. Really need it straight south north of sunrise west of rvc to for the marine layer .
  6. Finally warmed up here in SW Nassau. 72 and partly cloudy. Just went for a run an it couldn’t have been more perfect .
  7. Tuesday is looking to be the real Ambrose jet day. Marine forecast has the wind going from sw to south and increasing which is a tell. Wednesday has the best potential for 80 on the south shore with light winds in the morning. .
  8. I’m surprised no one is talking about this. Likely the most intense storm in several years. https://x.com/zeb199818/status/2043312086869287255?s=46&ct=rw-null .
  9. It’s significantly warmer then yesterday on the south shore with the offshore wind .
  10. Wednesday looks like a moderate Ambrose jet day so highs will be early in the day on the island. Like you said if winds stay light we could make a run at 80 prior to the usual start around 1.
  11. They still have a 36” snow pack. Probably a glacier you can walk on at this point. .
  12. Caribou doesn’t get a crazy amount of snow. You don’t even need to leave NY. Tug hill Platue averages over 250” a year and has seen over 400” .
  13. Yeah I have lots of memories of this time of year in Lb. At least it’s sunny. The worst days are zero vis fog and raw wind. Those days feel especially cold, meanwhile it’s 80 and sunny in NJ. .
  14. Onshore wind limiting temps on the south shore. JFK 51 and 62 CPK. Strong onshore winds next week with multiple Ambrose jet days possible. South facing coast will be significantly cooler .
  15. There was a subtle amount of return flow so you likely had some light onshore wind. That would keep dews higher and reduce radiational cooling .
  16. Gotta love KFOK, 24 tonight so far and 30 last night. Gotta be the best radiational spot on the north east coast. .
  17. Yeah the key is not going over strong. 72/73 97/98 were dumpster fires. 82/83 and 15/16 were one hit wonders that would have been next to snowless if those two giants hadn’t been timed perfectly .
  18. 50s with non stop 40 70 rainy nor’easters all winter. That was 97/98. Perfect storm track with tons of miller A’…… But ZERO cold. When you have an all time ice storm up on the Canadian border you know it’s bad. .
  19. Yeah, we are right on the cusp of leaf out. Once that happens evapotranspiration increases dews and lowers higher end temp potential. We can even rapidly warm up right to the coast pre leaf out before the sea breeze kicks in. .
  20. When are you moving to Siberia? Scratch that it gets hot in the summer there. .
  21. Not a bad forecast. We still have above normal water temps so I wouldn’t go for a really low number. I would focus in on home grown systems. The MDR will likely be hostile with increased shear .
  22. Strong CAA currently. Gusting to 38 at JFK and 39 at EWR. Should be pretty uniform low temps near the coast .
  23. Very well said. All we need to do is look back at events of rapid climate change in the past. In the natural world they were caused by events like large impacts and super volcanos. The Siberian Traps (which occurred over a longer period) the results were the same with 96% of marine life going extinct. The release of greenhouse gases caused extreme global warming, with temperatures near the equator reaching 165°F (74°C). Ocean devastation: The CO2 led to ocean acidification and a lack of oxygen (anoxia), killing most marine life. Feedback loop: The eruptions may have melted frozen methane on the seafloor, creating a devastating feedback loop. All of this is on the table. .
  24. The newer cultivars are sterile but the originals where brought over before anyone put any thought into invasive potential. There are saplings allllll over the place in NYBG and they are actively trying to eradicate them. Red bud is a great tree but weak in storms so not really suited to coastal locations. .
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