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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    You took the words right out of my mouth. I feel like when we’re under a WSW, we either bust low or barely hit the lower range. When they go conservative, we get a pleasant surprise. Maybe those occurrences are just the ones that stick out in my mind [emoji23] but I’m still going with it!!
  2. jayyy
    3-6” is a reasonable forecast I’d say
  3. jayyy
    Obviously still anyone’s guess where these bands ultimately setup and our area’s climo comes into play.. but it’s certainly interesting to see 3-4 models tonight with a similar output (having the max near 95) Wonder if they’re onto something.
  4. jayyy
    Certainly odd that you’re 5 degrees warmer than lowland Howard county. Weather is weird
  5. jayyy
    A lot of factors go into localized temps. It’s currently colder in Ellicott city (31) than the NYC suburbs (36) Weird for sure but nonetheless…
  6. jayyy
    Euro and RGEM with the 95 band via the coastal. Gfs about 15-20 miles further west with the goods but still gives 95 corridor borderline warning snowfall *May*have to raise that 2-4” forecast for areas just west of 95 if this keeps up
  7. jayyy
    Indeed. However still 5+ along 95
  8. jayyy
    I’m too lazy to look. Lay it on us Randy
  9. jayyy
    Already down to freezing in the Ellicott city area per obs. Thinking you’re right. And if the euro / rgem has the right idea of a near 95 qpf max, places like Columbia, EC, owings mills could see 5”
  10. jayyy
    lol where are you located sourpuss
  11. jayyy
    Dc Baltimore jack during a marginal event. What could go wrong [emoji28]
  12. jayyy
    Thermals?
  13. jayyy
    Temp drop continues. 34 and cloudy
  14. jayyy
    36 and mostly cloudy
  15. jayyy
    Looks like a batch of mixed (or snow depending on location) is moving NE through the area. Suspect it’ll mainly be snow from Columbia N
  16. jayyy
    Man, that model has truly been rock solid for DAYS. .45-.55 area wide with the maxima from my hood to Mt PSU
  17. jayyy
    Beat me to it. Let’s goooo NAM gfs euro combo say nearby suburbs west of 95 should also probably have one
  18. jayyy
    Wondering if we see watches expanded in the AM for the rest of MoCo/ HoCo / Baltimore
  19. jayyy
    Georgetown.. cause it’ll be raining
  20. jayyy
    Came here to say this. Their January forecast was for above normal temps in late December lol
  21. jayyy
    11” up by my parents house in Orange County, NY. wowza I’d certainly take 5-8” down this way. Probably best we cut these totals in half for now though unless other models come around to loftier totals.
  22. jayyy
    Yay for winter storm watches!
  23. jayyy
    Sounds like we should just take the compromise and call it a flush hit [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]
  24. jayyy
    Snow with nice dendrites at work in Columbia
  25. jayyy
    Appears to be heading straight for the Columbia area
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