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weatherpruf

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Everything posted by weatherpruf

  1. weatherpruf
    It's almost not worth it to bank on anything too many days before a storm. Outcomes that change a lot from computer prognostications are common. Predictive science is taking a beating in recent years in more than one field.
  2. weatherpruf
  3. weatherpruf
    Anything that gives us some enjoyment these days is welcome....but I'm retired now and can sit back and watch.
  4. weatherpruf
    In my area we actually don't do well when the coast does; and also don't do well when NW does....the geography of the area near the mouth of the Raritan seems to miss out when the coast gets dumped on and the storms move east before getting to us; when storms are mostly NW ( in terms of snow ) and there is coastal influence, we are close enough for that mix line to cut our totals. Actually, this makes many people around here thankful....
  5. weatherpruf
    Which would be more in keeping with history. Honestly, these big totals really aren't normal for the NYC area, even in the dead of winter most years. We had some freakish winters in the 2000's. We've just seen two winters with hardly a flake. 3-6 will still be amazing. But of course, even that can fall apart, and I have seen that so many times...southeast winds, warm air aloft, etc all add up to not a big snow, or even any snow; could be all sleet. Seen it often, but it is usually better forecast than this. There have been too many calls for huge storms over the years for the city that just haven't come to fruition. That said, anything can still happen....
  6. weatherpruf
    You give good reasons for your thoughts and I appreciate your input. Remember, some people have to plan appropriately, it's not just about watching totals. Now is the time to clear the driveway of obstructions ( like my hoses, stray pieces of gravel ) get snow equipment and generators ready. If you don't end up needing it, so be it.
  7. weatherpruf
    Interesting. Would be something to get get those amounts in Dec, but I've seen it before, in Dec 2003, 14 inches, but it was all snow, no mix. Heard high will be 34 tomorrow, but that may be before the storm arrives.
  8. weatherpruf
    Doesn't it count sleet as snow though....
  9. weatherpruf
    6-12 inches is a very good storm for the city and immediate area for this time of year, and would be a big deal after years of nada. However, a few more shifts would not bode well. But really, it's been fairly consistent that we are going to get something substantial, albeit not a 2 foot crush job. it should be significant enough. It's been nice to have something else to talk about in these tough times. Stay safe out there.
  10. weatherpruf
    The store I bough them from is cleaned out, even though it is in S Jersey and no real accumulation expected there ( but I suspect a lot of people up north, like we did, took the hour drive to pick them up ). If I were enterprising ( which I'm not ) I could get some serious cash selling these off even at a substantial discount ( I paid 299 for one machine that retailed for 1100, and 149 for another that retailed for 950...liquidation sale ). Admittedly, one of them hasn't been able to start ( I suspect old gas, as there is a varnish smell; the story was that floor models come with some gas for testing; we'll see, final sale but warranty still effective; but they gave me the wrong machine, what a screw up; the one I ordered for that price was a smaller single stage; my wife picked them up and even argued with them that it was the wrong one, they insisted the bigger machine was the right one and that the picture on the receipt was wrong! ) Now they said ok well we'll just change the paperwork so you can prove purchase. Didn't even ask for the price difference. No wonder ( big retailer ) is going under....it's like they already took the loss and don't give a crap.
  11. weatherpruf
    Worst storm I ever got stuck in....but that was a much colder day, and it had been pretty cold.
  12. weatherpruf
    I don't think Edison will be in a bad spot from what I can see. In a big storm there usually isn't much daylight between Lebanon and Edison. Boxing Day was one, with Hunterdon County being just a bit too far west, March 2018 was another, with portions of Middlesex County being a bit too far east for the best ratios. Any December storm is welcome if it can put down some decent cover.
  13. weatherpruf
    Yes, i wasn't even paying attention. I just bought two snowblowers and they were a steal. Since I ordered them they are flying off the stockroom floor....
  14. weatherpruf
    As a recently retired mental health professional, I would say that many people need professional help these days, and that is not a put down. More people should take advantage of the help that is out there.
  15. weatherpruf
    Bear in mind that the last 2 winters or so are the anomaly, as is 96. A normal winter should have some snow events around here, decent ones at that, and when they aren't happening it is odd ( though perhaps to be expected in changing climate patterns ). So, I would say, if you despise snow, there are plenty of places that aren't too hot that also don't snow much; TN, NC, upper GA, even KY and southern IN. I like a good snow, but don't want to move to ME where it snows a lot. And in a winter with such a serious pandemic, I'm not big on a bad winter with a lot snow either. But we can enjoy one after almost 3 years of nothing, right?
  16. weatherpruf
    Now that I remember, you are correct. It was awhile ago. The rates weren't enough to overcome the warm surfaces here, they had better rates elsewhere. I think it was the March 2017 storm where they got much more north and west while we got a lot of sleet.
  17. weatherpruf
    This would be my concern. I'm moving the generator into position.
  18. weatherpruf
    I'm guessing you mean clean up would be difficult if a mix happened after a big thump; but may not as much if its sleet. It would be rain that would make the stuff tough to deal with. And our ER's are already stressed.
  19. weatherpruf
    The last March storm in 2018, many came close. Been quiet since.
  20. weatherpruf
    if mixing is on the table we will mix. Usually everyone at sea level will. In March 2018 I had four inches in one storm that elevated areas had double digits.
  21. weatherpruf
    Having lived in the area for 58 years, if Belmar gets zilch don't expect the city to get a big hit.
  22. weatherpruf
    It's hard for me to get excited about weather with everything going on, but I check in here from time to time. Wha happen? A week ago people were writing winter off....now we are looking at a big storm? PS just got two big snow blowers, a 28 inch Yard machine and and 24 in craftsman, for next to nothing as Sears liquidates its remaining stock....I was thinking to put them in storage until....I really just thought a small one would be fine given the last 3 years....seriously one was 149$ and the other was 299$....less than what it costs to fix my old ones....
  23. weatherpruf
    And it was a lot less than we were expecting; like all but one storm that year, the bulk of it happened south of our region. We still wound up with 9-12 or so in some places, but overall it set the tone for the rest of the winter.
  24. weatherpruf
    The 17 year ciccadas finished off 3 large old oak trees and a plum tree IMBY. They survived a few years but the damage was done.
  25. weatherpruf
    And yet the seasons and limits for black sea bass get shorter and shorter....when I was a kid it was colder and there were plenty of these around; they would stay inshore til well into November. People were more focused on winter and summer flounder then, so didn't pay much attention to them. The red hake, known locally as ling, was so plentiful we'd shake them off the hook so the captain wouldn't stay on them. I actually do not see much change for either species in that graph. Fishing stocks are so depleted now it is hard to draw firm conclusions, though it makes sense that we should be seeing warm water species more frequently. However, most of them are quite depleted as well. The southern puffer is a fish that has made an appearance in local waters, and unlike the edible blowfish, it's poisonous.
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