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Allsnow

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Everything posted by Allsnow

  1. December 2017 into January 2018 was our last real stretch of artic cold temperatures
  2. Next week still looks mild but the 70’s talk might be a stretch. The weekend is now looking to be the warmest on the models. The highest temperature next week at nyc is the upper 50’s
  3. It’s going to take a major hit but will probably regain strength after that. It that wave 2 hit is true, it could help improve the pattern for cold/nao
  4. -epo continues to move up in time on the ensembles. The Pv looks to take a hit around that time which might allow for a -nao. It will take time but after next week’s blowtorch I do see some positive signs
  5. We have had a +pna last week
  6. 42/34 in the park yesterday. Should be another below normal day today. Models did a good job forecasting this cold shot
  7. That sure looks like a p6 response in Niña during December. We just won’t be able to sustain it
  8. Moderate snow in this band currently! Nice surprise, being that I wasn’t expecting anything today
  9. I think the way the mjo is progressing it has merit. Now can we shake that -pna?
  10. Agree. The eps continues to show the -epo/ridge bridge at the end of the 11-15 day. Unfortunately, the -pna is allowing all the cold to dump into the west. This is at the end of the 11-15 day so I’m sure things will change before then.
  11. Definitely changes in the epo coming around the 20th. It will take some time for it to cool down here, especially with the Uber -pna.
  12. Close the shades for two weeks at the very least if you’re looking for significant snow/cold. Some hints of change on the ensembles overnight with a -epo towards the 18th. This might be a response from the mjo getting into 7/8 around that timeframe
  13. Very ugly look. This look worst then just a brief mild pattern. Going to be hard to find winter weather outside the northwest for a while
  14. And we can get it to snow in a warm pattern in this area. Heck, February 18 was a torch and we still had 3-7 inches that month
  15. Weak and fast flow is the only way we have a chance to snow in the metro. This might be one of those situations where it works out for us
  16. The lower hgts are in Ak not south of the Aleutians
  17. Yup. We have had a p6 response the last two weeks. It’s not close to p5 in November. The only reason we are going away from that look is because the pna is tanking
  18. Yeah, but the p5 composite for Niña November isn’t the pattern we had. It was closer to a p6 response for December. Why do you think the west has been so warm and snowless the past few weeks? We have had a ridge in that area
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