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Allsnow

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Posts posted by Allsnow

  1. 7 hours ago, RU848789 said:

    Deep winter still here in Metuchen. Have had 2+" otg here since last Tuesday (10 days), which is nice.  24.6" on the season, which is more than anyone on the entire NE corridor from VA to Boston - not sure that's ever happened for me in my 30 years here, as we've gotten quite lucky this winter, especially with the amazing 11.25" on Saturday, which, in retrospect, is, I think, the most snow I've ever had over a 5 hour period, as it was just pouring with 4"/hr over one 30 minute period.  Top 5 all-time storm for me because of the sustained heavy snow and the huge overperformance relative to forecasts.  

    Image

    Finally our small little town was a local jackpot…

    • Like 2
  2. 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    I think we’re done outside of some freak, anomalous event which is always a risk every year in mid-late March. Even if we assume the pattern flips at 3/15 (big assumption), at that point, at our latitude, it’s spring climo/sun angle/length of day season. Average highs in the 50’s. The Equinox is only 4 days later and all of the arctic cold is locked on the other side of the hemisphere in Eurasia going into March. We are very likely donzo

    Good. Time for a early spring 

    • Like 5
    • Sad 1
  3. 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

    15.5” for the winter here. Definitely not good since average here is over 30” but a step above total disaster. I still give the winter a D/D-. 

    We know now that  strong Nino won’t be friendly with the warming ocean temps and climate 

    • Like 2
  4. 19 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Looks like this will end up as a 10-15.6” winter for most closer to the coast. 
     

    CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 15.6
    CT RIDGEFIELD 3.6 N CoCoRaHS 15.6
    CT GUILFORD COOP 15.5
    CT MIDDLEFIELD 1.4 W CoCoRaHS 15.5
    CT DANBURY COOP 15.4
    NY MOUNT SINAI COOP 15.3
    NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 15.2
    NY HOWARD BEACH 0.4 NNW CoCoRaHS 15.2
    NJ WAYNE TWP 0.8 SSW CoCoRaHS 14.9
    CT NORWALK 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 14.7
    CT NEW CANAAN 3.8 N CoCoRaHS 14.7
    NJ NEW PROVIDENCE 0.8 ESE CoCoRaHS 14.7
    NY RIDGE 1.5 SE CoCoRaHS 14.5
    NJ CLARK TWP 1.3 ENE CoCoRaHS 14.3
    NJ POMPTON LAKES 1.0 ENE CoCoRaHS 14.2
    NY COMMACK 1.3 SW CoCoRaHS 14.1
    NY PORT JEFFERSON STATION 0.3 SSW CoCoRaHS 13.9
    CT NORWICH 5.4 SE CoCoRaHS 13.9
    NY NESCONSET 1.4 SSW CoCoRaHS 13.7
    NJ TENAFLY 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 13.6
    NJ MONTCLAIR 0.7 N CoCoRaHS 13.5
    CT HIGGANUM 0.8 NE CoCoRaHS 13.5
    NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 13.4
    NY NEW HEMPSTEAD 0.6 SE CoCoRaHS 13.4
    CT RIDGEFIELD 3.7 NNE CoCoRaHS 13.4
    NY STATEN ISLAND 1.4 SE CoCoRaHS 13.4
    NJ VERONA TWP 0.8 W CoCoRaHS 13.3
    NJ FAIR LAWN 1.2 SE CoCoRaHS 13.2
    NY BRIGHTWATERS 0.7 NNW CoCoRaHS 13.1
    NY ST. JAMES COOP 13.0
    NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 12.8
    NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 12.7
    NY MANHASSET HILLS 0.2 NNE CoCoRaHS 12.4
    NJ HARRISON COOP 12.4
    CT MYSTIC 3.4 NW CoCoRaHS 12.4
    CT SEYMOUR 1.2 WSW CoCoRaHS 12.4
    CT NORWICH 5.2 SE CoCoRaHS 12.3
    NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 12.2
    CT KILLINGWORTH 2.6 ESE CoCoRaHS 12.2
    NJ KEARNY 1.7 NNW CoCoRaHS 11.6
    NJ MAPLEWOOD TWP 0.9 SE CoCoRaHS 11.2
    CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 11.1
    NJ RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE CoCoRaHS 11.0
    CT ANSONIA 1 NE COOP 11.0
    NY BELLMORE 0.9 SSE CoCoRaHS 10.9
    NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 10.9
    CT STRATFORD 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 10.9
    NY SYOSSET COOP 10.8
    CT BETHEL 4.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 10.8
    NY LITTLE NECK 0.3 SE CoCoRaHS 10.7
    NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 10.7
    NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 10.5
    CT PAWCATUCK 1.8 SSE CoCoRaHS 10.3
    NY WEST POINT COOP 10.2
    NJ WEST CALDWELL TWP 1.3 NE CoCoRaHS 10.2
    NJ WESTFIELD 0.8 WSW CoCoRaHS 10.2
    CT WALLINGFORD CENTER 1.9 WNW CoCoRaHS 10.1
    NY AMITYVILLE 0.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 10.0
    NY REMSENBURG-SPEONK 0.9 NE CoCoRaHS 10.0

    Probably the best we could have done knowing what we know now about how it played out

    • Like 4
  5. 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

    who said anything about epic cold...my point is when you go back and look at our big March snow storms they are usually preceded by an arctic outbreak.   

    Don’t even go that far, just go back and read my post. I said nothing about arctic air or March snow. I’m not sure why you’re putting words in my mouth. You can be below avg in March without artic air and big snow 

    • Like 1
  6. 8 minutes ago, MANDA said:

    Off topic for this thread but I'll post it here since the weather is quiet.

    For those of you who were fans of Alan Kasper back in the day you will like this.

    A friend of mine sent me this link so I am passing it along.  Lots of great memories.

    I worked weekends at WCBS late 1983 to late 85 and Alan had left by then.  Wish I had gotten to meet him.  A Legend.

    What came after him not so much.

    Here is link:

     

    Kasper was so far ahead of his time. His updates on the mixing line and radar during a storm on the radio were a great source of information 

    • Like 2
  7. 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

    By then averages are 50-55 so you'd need some decent cold to get anything-and there's zero cold anywhere so good luck with that...

    40-45 is still below avg. I’m not forecasting March 2018 to walk through the door. Why does everything have to surround epic cold/snow predictions with you? 

    • Like 1
  8. 26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Even Islip didn’t drop below 17° which is a first.

     

    Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Dec through Feb
    Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
    Rank
    Season
    Lowest Min Temperature 
    Missing Count
    1 2023-2024 17 10
    2 2001-2002 15 0
    - 1997-1998 15 0
    3 2020-2021 13 0
    - 2019-2020 13 0

    4

    2009-2010 12 0
    - 2005-2006 12 0
    5 2011-2012 10 0
    - 2007-2008 10 0

    Perhaps Saturday night? 

    • Like 1
  9. 30 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

    Our one shot with another Nina is a big hurricane season. Winters after big Nina hurricane seasons can be good here-i.e. 2020-21 after the big 2020 season, 95-96 after the big 1995 season. Hopefully the big hurricanes are recurves. 

    I believe @bluewave posted about the importance of the mjo in Nina October which might mean a favorable stretch in January. 

  10. 16 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

    Would not surprise me if the tail end of February and March torch, then a huge -NAO block shows up in April and we keep getting backdoored for 30 days

    P3/4 are cold for March so I wouldn’t be shocked if the month flipped after a warm start 

    • Like 5
  11. 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

    Definitely 

    It's amazing how everyone is below average.  Boston is only at 9.7. They will most likely see more snow but they will also end up below average. 

     

    Maybe we will get lucky in March but it's a long shot.

    Yeah, I definitely have checked out until next winter. If something pops in March I’ll dive back in but the month looks warm to me. Hopefully, some good thunderstorm action this warm season 

    • Like 3
  12. 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

    And the weeklies

    But at least some areas got 2 accumulating snow events .

    That's why we should take the long range with a grain of salt. 

    I have to give you props. You never believed the epic patterns that others said was going to happen.

    Strong nino winter. Two weeks of a favorable window was about what we could have hoped for. Wish we could have gotten something bigger for more of the area but it is what it is. 
     

    If we get a strong Nina next winter is might be rough again around nyc 

    • Like 2
  13. 4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    That’s why Lonnie Quinn got the intermediate measurement which was higher. Add this up over a complete season and we can see how the official totals at NYC are lower than the surrounding stations. It’s also how that artificial under 1” record ran so long only at NYC and not any other local stations.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/biggest-snow-accumulation-totals-around-n-y-n-j-and-conn/

    • Central Park: 3.2 inches officially, 3.9 inches as measured by CBS New York's Lonnie Quinn

    Exactly! Two days last winter of 0.9 

    • Thanks 1
  14. 28 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    I am glad your area was able to really cash in on this jet stream assist creating a great left from exit region. 
     

     

    First time a north trend benefited my area in forever. Thanks for all this information about the event 

    • Like 3
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