Allsnow

34 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Luckily we can also get tons of snow in that 6-8 week period. We just need the Pacific to cooperate in those times and not blast maritime puke all over the continent. 

What I have noticed lately is when we do get those blast of pac puke it takes longer to reverse then years past. If that type of relaxation is forecasted it basically means 4-5 weeks+ of no winter threats 

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We don't know that for sure. We can easily snap right back.

We have become to warm to snap back to that type of run. Yes we will have snowy winters again (ex: 20-21) but we won’t have those type of season consistently 

31 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

The rubber band is eventually going to snap back to snowy winters. Who knows when.

You experienced them during the early 2000’s. It’s all downhill from here now. 

10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah as you pointed out yesterday, next week looks miserable. Rainy early to mid week and then chilly and windy mid to late week. I'm hoping we can break out of this pattern and get back to nice weather for the 2nd week of April. 

Definitely signs of the warmth returning 2nd week of April 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah and not like we needed another 1 to 2"

That will come next week 

9 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Interesting to see next week whether this bowling ball storm happens for New England and how far south the bowling ball can get. There’ll likely be a ton of snow north of that closed upper low. For us I’m sure it just means tons more rain but maybe I-90 and north should keep an eye on it. This blocky NAO pattern which of course shows up right on time to nasty up the spring makes that more likely. 

I  don’t think this block orientation would have worked in January. It looks to far south to me which links the ridge off The Atlantic. It also should be noted the pac is still a mess. While it’s enough to give us a awful start to April, I feel it would have been more of the same in January 
 

@bluewave thoughts? 

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The easterly solutions look to verify based on radar and the latest HRRR

Yup. West trend stopped after 06z yesterday 

.60

should finish close to a inch after todays rain 

Next week looks horrible with a system stuck underneath the block 

Huge batch of rain sw of phl will be moving in late this afternoon 

Crazy how wet we have been this winter but finished with such low snowfall 

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

All day long too

Ends early Friday morning 

3 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Nam is west with lots of rain for the area 

2-3 wow 

Nam is west with lots of rain for the area 

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

i know it's the sref but it shifted way west and has an inch to pa

HRRR  3pm tomorrow 

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

hrrr is coming west

Almost a inch by 9am tomorrow with more to Come 

Euro with a big jump west 

49 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Absolutely puking snow. Roads are completely covered. Building up that late March snowpack. This storm has been awesome. Finally kicked the doldrums of nothingness we’ve been in for months. 

Yup, with temps crashing through the day it will freeze solid. Enjoy 

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Looks like a SE ridge there-maybe the blocking can link up and give us warmth...LOL

Yeah, ridge is flexing 

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

That 4 sigma 500 mb Greenland block in the forecast looks to be the strongest of the year so far. So a very active pattern will continue into early April. Spring will remain on hiatus for a while longer. 
 

Brutal…

15 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

This season has reminded me how true this is for our region. I won’t give my final season grade until 4/15 at the earliest and this storm has likely bumped it up a half letter.  
 

WWA hoisted for a couple more inches of snow with the deformation band as we fall back below freezing overnight into tomorrow morning. There will be a rock solid glacier by Wednesday, which looks downright frigid for late March. 

Looks like the rain/snow line has collapsed through the city now. What a wild event for your area…

The qpf amount is impressive for the Midwest 

28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Individual i took it as

This 

Good amount of idv eps members that look like the gfs 

16 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

How the 12Z ECMWF is fully out to 240hrs on wxbell is beyond me, doesn't seem possible. 

It’s also faster in finishing now. Next winter the 12z run will be completed by 1:15pm 

@bluewave why do you think we keep getting a stronger passage in p8-1 outside DJF