bluewave

That April 2003 snowstorm happened just a few days after a brief -NAO drop.

Yeah, we have had top 10 storms near the changes and in the middle of -NAO events. 2002-2003 was interesting in that the -NAO was mostly front-loaded into December and the first week of January. PD2 was unique since it occurred during a +NAO run that began during the second week of January. But we had the El Nino STJ along with a strong -EPO block.

Yeah, PHL was similar to the NYC Metro and LI stations. The only top 10 snowstorm without a -NAO since 1950 was PD2. PHL 31.0...1-8-96.....-1.719 28.5...2-6-10......-0.985 23.2..12-20-09...-2.111 22.4...1-24-16....-0.890 21.3...2-12-83....-0.690 18.7...2-17-03...+0.654 15.8...2-12-06...-0.537 15.1..1-27-11...-0.944 14.6..12-12-60..-0.078 14.3...2-19-79...-0.633

I put together a collection of the top 10 snowstorms from Newark to Islip since 1950. This is when the NAO data became regularly available. Nearly all the events at our 5 major climate sites occurred following a -NAO. The lowest NAO readings were included up to 10 days before the events. The few exceptions to the pattern were in 2013,2015, and January 1978. February 2013 featured a very strong STJ following the early El Nino development which faded out in the fall. January 2015 and 1978 were during a weak El Nino. So on a few occasions the strong STJ was able to overcome the +NAO. Also notice how many storms have happened during our recent historic run. http://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.nao.index.b500101.current.ascii NYC 27.5...1-24-16....-0.890 26.9...2-12-06....-0.537 20.9...2-26-10....-1.299 20.2..1-8-96......-.1.719 20.0...12-27-10...-1.533 19.8...2-17-03...+0.654 19.0...1-27-11....-0.944 17.7...2-7-78.....-0.865 17.6...2-12-83...-0.690 17.4...2-4-61.....-0.126 EWR 27.8...1-8-96.....-1.719 24.3...1-23-16....-0.890 24.2...12-27-10..-1.533 22.6...2-4-61......-0.126 22.3...2-17-03....+0.654 21.3..2-12.-06....-0.537 20.4...12-12-60...-0.078 19.0...2-7-78......-0.865 18.9...1-27-11...-0.944 18.2...3-19-56...-0.225 JFK 30.5...1-24-16...-0.890 25.8...2-17-03...+0.654 24.1...2-4-61....-0.126 21.7...2-12-83...-0.690 20.7...1-8-96....-1.719 20.2...2-10-69...-0.678 18.1...2-5-61....-0.126 16.7...2-12-06...-0.537 15.6...12-27-10...-1.533 14.5...12-20-09...-2.111 LGA 28.2...1-24-16...-0.890 25.4...2-12-06...-0.537 23.8...1-8-96...-1.719 22.0...2-12-83...-0.690 19.0...2-5-61...-0.126 17.3...1-27-11...-0.944 16.5...2-17-03..+0.654 16.1...2-10-69...-0.678 15.3...3-4-60....-1.095 14.9...12-20-95..-1.581 ISP 27.8...2-9-13....+0.219 25.9...2-7-78....-0.865 24.9...1-27-15...+0.235 23.9...12-20-09...-2.111 23.7...1-24-16...-0.890 20.1...2-12-83...-0.690 19.9...2-12-06...-0.537 17.8..1-20-78...+0.234 17.0...1-8-96...-1.719 17.0...2-10-69...-0.678

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The November 1st run of the Euro monthly looks like it was the first get the right idea about December.

The ridging out west has been ridiculous in recent years. There is a few new papers out on the topic. But most of them are behind a paywall. Remote Linkages to Anomalous Winter Atmospheric Ridging Over the Northeastern Pacific http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017JD026575/full http://cpo.noaa.gov/News/News-Article/ArtMID/6226/ArticleID/1498/Scientists-link-California-droughts-and-floods-to-distinctive-atmospheric-waves The crippling wintertime droughts that struck California from 2013 to 2015, as well as this year's unusually wet California winter, appear to be associated with the same phenomenon: a distinctive wave pattern that emerges in the upper atmosphere and circles the globe. Scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) found in a recent study that the persistent high-pressure ridge off the west coast of North America that blocked storms from coming onshore during the winters of 2013-14 and 2014-15 was associated with the wave pattern, which they call wavenumber-5. Follow-up work showed that wavenumber-5 emerged again this winter but with its high- and low-pressure features in a different position, allowing drenching storms from the Pacific to make landfall. "This wave pattern is a global dynamic system that sometimes makes droughts or floods in California more likely to occur," said NCAR scientist Haiyan Teng, lead author of the California paper. "As we learn more, this may eventually open a new window to long-term predictability." The finding is part of an emerging body of research into the wave pattern that holds the promise of better understanding seasonal weather patterns in California and elsewhere. Another new paper, led by NCAR scientist Grant Branstator, examines the powerful wave pattern in more depth, analyzing the physical processes that help lead to its formation as well as its seasonal variations and how it varies in strength and location. The California study was published in the Journal of Climate while the comprehensive study into the wave patterns is appearing in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. Both papers were funded by the National Science Foundation, which is NCAR's sponsor, as well as by the Department of Energy, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and NASA.

Denver-DIA hit 81° today which is 34° above the normal high of 47°. This difference between the actual high & the normal high was the second largest ever recorded for Denver. The only larger difference occurred on Dec 5, 1939 when Denver was 35° above normal. #cowx 2:07 PM - 27 Nov 2017

Camarillo Airport has officially broken the ALL TIME record HI temperature for the month of November. This is very late in the month to reach 99 degrees. The old record was 98 degrees set 3 times no later than Nov 5th. The high today could still climb higher. #cawx #LAheat #Socal pic.twitter.com/TuF2zeKuVl

Aerosmith played there in 1980. After Speaks closed down, none of the other clubs in that spot were as good. http://stubstory.com/aerosmith-on-long-island-1980/

Looks you will have a much warmer turkey day than our area. Not sure if this happens that much.

I have seen Joan Jett several times around town in Long Beach. She filmed a video a while back on Franklin and the boardwalk.

U2 actually played the Malibu back in 1981 before they became so famous.

94.3 and 90.7 have been my main radio stations before 92.3 just changed to the new format. Many radio stations get into the repeating songs since that how the modern formats have evolved. There is so much more that can get played but gets left out of the regular playlists these days.

That's a great station. I grew up going to a bunch of concerts in that format when it was still called new wave. The old Malibu nightclub in Lido Beach would host the WLIR concert series. Got to see They Might Be Giants live in that smaller club setting. The bigger shows would play in venues like Jones Beach when the bands got more famous.

I am just happy that NYC finally has an alternative rock format station back on the air. Grew up listening to 92.7 WLIR and WDRE. So this new ALT 92.3 that went on the air friday is a nice surprise.

The Jones Beach barrier island is a fantastic place for nature viewing. In addition to the marine life, there have been numerous rare bird sightings along the strip. Birders flocked from all across the US to see the Corn Crake from Europe that turned up in Cedar Beach. Unfortunately, the little guy didn't make it. http://www.audubon.org/news/birders-drop-everything-behold-rare-corn-crake-turned-new-york

The Bunker commercial fishing restrictions resulted in a big increase in food supply to bring the Humpbacks into our waters.

Yeah, it's more of a DJF Nina temperature gradient out west than what you generally see in November.

Pretty extreme temperature gradient out west for the first half of November. Bozeman, MT...-15.5 Montrose, CO...+6.9

Utqiaġvik (Barrow) Zone 202 Coastal Flood Warnings and High Surf Advisories: 2017: 8 2016: 1 2015: 2 2014: 2 2013: 2 2012: 5 2011: 1 2010: 1 2009: 1 2008: 1 2007: 0 2006: 2 2005: 3 8:34 PM - 12 Nov 2017 Your weekly reminder: this is NOT normal. Coastal flood warnings Sunday AM from the Bering Strait to Point Barrow (areas in deep blue shading). And it's Nov 12th. With sea ice, this would be just another winter storm, But there isn't…#akwx #Arctic @Climatologist49 @DaveSnider pic.twitter.com/kP3CJ2lKXe 10:53 AM - 12 Nov 2017

The American Wigeons returned to my local pond last week for the winter.

Some really big weather extremes to start November across the US. In 73 yrs of records at Sea-Tac there has only been 8 days w/highs 43° or less in the 1st week of Nov, 3 of them in the last 3 days. #wawx 6:35 AM - 6 Nov 2017 RECORDS: Officially, 0.4" snowfall at SeaTac today, breaking the old daily record of Trace set in 1973. 5:25 PM - 5 Nov 2017 Since records began in 1898, Dallas-Fort Worth had never hit 90°F in November. Now they've done it on 3 of last 4 days (at least 93F Sun). 2:29 PM - 5 Nov 2017

I agree with you on that. The traffic situation here in Western Suffolk is much better than it was back in Nassau. Queens line to Meadowboook always has the worst traffic on LI. Traffic really improves once you get east of the Meadowbrook.