Problem with his terrible post is that yes NYC is like that, but how many died and how many got COVID with unknown long term ramifications. They were completely overwhelmed there.
They temporarily closed down testing for a storm that missed them in Florida, combine that with both of those state governments not believing this is a real disaster and here we are. It is just an extension from above of "if we don't test we won't have any cases"
Btw, I don't mind if people hope and wish this goes away, I do everyday but I also have situational awareness and until we make further changes I don't see things getting much better anytime soon especially as we approach winter.
There was a lot of hoping and wishing against actuality and reality in that thread. At least this thread has remained pretty based. I honestly don't know the answer because we are doing little to prevent the rise especially in the south and school is potentially going to start in more areas soon beyond the south.
I don't know about Squitieri, I think he might be an intern or new, but Darrow is the king of the "I don't know/uncertainty" forecast. Never ever goes out on a limb on anything.
Absolutely terrible job especially in light of an ongoing MCS at the time and mesoscale models showing the potential for a derecho well north of the slight. But then again look at who did the outlook for why it was so terrible.
Their population density is about 25% of ours and they don't have a city even close to the density of all the major cities here. Not to mention their medical system and insurance is much better than here.
Considering how many people have died in that state alone, and knowing it is the most populated area in the entire country, they are assuredly going to be cautious.
I am very skeptical they can pull it off, but they are one of the few places that are still trending in the right direction. They have to have a hair trigger though if the numbers go up considering how many people live in and around NYC.
Oh I get the restrictions on learning but to me safety at a temporary cost in learning is unfortunately needed. We definitely don't need situations like what we are seeing in Georgia of packed hallways. That is insanity.
The problem with doing it in those areas, which are mostly rural, if an outbreak does happen you immediately exacerbate the limited medical facilities and testing in those areas.