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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Yeah and a lot of them had much warmer air at 850, hell the top analog had 10c into Iowa, that isn't even remotely happening this time.
  2. Stebo
    Enjoy your 6" of snow.
  3. Stebo
    Everyone of those analogs have the snow nowhere near where the models do this go around. Looks like a failure in analogs.
  4. Stebo
    I think DTX might be wrong on the snow ratios, their AFD made mention of 8:1 ratios, I just don't see it being that low especially with temps starting out in the 20s and very good ascent.
  5. Stebo
    Probably a bit aggressive for the southern zones but not bad.
  6. Stebo
    No shit? I thought you were serious
  7. Stebo
    Not a good look for your call.
  8. Stebo
    Here is your winter weather alert:
  9. Stebo
  10. Stebo
    They more than likely won't until tomorrow afternoon with the warning coming friday afternoon. IWX maybe their northern tier but not much more.
  11. Stebo
    Same out this way 4-5" mean.
  12. Stebo
    I see nothing wrong with this graphic in light of what all models are showing now. They have the potentials highlighted pretty correct right now.
  13. Stebo
    Some positive trends today. Let's keep them going!
  14. Stebo
    Yeah so far the models stopped the bleeding tonight at least.
  15. Stebo
    The big takeaway from that post to me is the MJO, at the very least with a high amplitude wave, we are going to flush out the current pattern at the very least.
  16. Stebo
    Lol euro isn't even advisory criteria here. Garbage storm not worth wasting time on. Hope it just rains instead.
  17. Stebo
    Slower is bad, though I'm not sure on the low location and track. Seems a bit too far north in relation to the 500mb trough. Otherwise, this is going to shit pretty fast.
  18. Stebo
    Oh there will be ice. It might be transient because the band might not be stationary.
  19. Stebo
    Its sleeting here
  20. Stebo
    Yeah that next pattern is dusty clippers. Joy
  21. Stebo
    Wright-Patterson gusted to 72kts with the line as well.
  22. Stebo
    This would put us in the top 3 when added to everything up to date.
  23. Stebo
    Exactly as I expected, if the system on Wednesday is weak and flat there is no real CAA behind it and this will cut and be rain. Hell at this rate might as well put up the wettest January on record.
  24. Stebo
    Yeah and if things slow any with the system then the high slides away. The way things have been going, that is probably what will happen.
  25. Stebo
    We would be at 4.8" without that storm so yeah it wouldn't be good at all at this point.
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