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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. With the 14-15 storm coming in weaker there will be less cold air in place. That has me concerned.
  2. About the only thing that ended up verifying from this trash storm, still on the low side of the forecast window.
  3. Snowvember, it was one storm and we got incredibly lucky with it, otherwise we'd be chasing futility at this point.
  4. I just hope it isn't rain here, but I have a feeling it will be.
  5. So far 2.22" since yesterday in the bucket here at DTW. Been pretty much on pace with what was expected and should pick up at least .5" more before all is said and done.
  6. Completely unexpected that we are mixing down the winds right now, 49/34 temp/dew. Just gusted to 50mph at DTW.
  7. Region wide. I will safely take the under on this one.
  8. Mind you a stronger system is going to work both ways, stronger WAA but also stronger CAA too especially with that massive high pressing in. The slower this system ends up the more time the high gets to press in too.
  9. Oof that is a shitload of ice/sleet on the GFS for DTX's CWA.
  10. A couple of pictures before and while the snow squall hit. I would post the pictures directly here but a nice lovely error comes up... so here is my twitter post instead
  11. A bit of lightning in the thumb with some of these squalls coming through.
  12. What is interesting is the CAA really starts to strengthen from 66-84hr turning a lot of the rain to freezing rain. It would be interesting if A. this is a start of a trend and B. what would happen beyond that. With all the convection that will be south, it wouldn't surprise me to see the low further south as well especially if the system doesn't take a negative tilt which the NAM didn't do.
  13. Keep moving northwest, I want the warm sector and thunder.
  14. The air mass is the cold air pressing in not the prefrontal airmass which is why there is a lot of ice being shown especially with the multiple piece setup it is showing.
  15. The ice issues with this will be significant especially if a Euro 2 piece storm occurs. Certainly significant potential is there.
  16. He may have and I missed it, idk I just find it a tough subject to joke on.
  17. Interestingly enough a large number of GEFS members have latched onto the Saturday thing over the last couple of runs
  18. If it does it won't be much per every model at this point.
  19. DTW ended up 35.1 only .7 from November. Pretty wild that they almost matched.
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