coastalplainsnowman

I think the difference is that Patterson's annual snowfall is 150-200% of Commack's average. In a place that averages 50+" a year, a 60% of normal year still looks and feels wintry. In a place that averages half that, like much of LI, a 60% of normal year looks like a brown winter with a few sporadic barely plowable events. 60^ of Patterson's snowfall is a darn solid winter on LI.

The depressing part is that if a 7 year stretch is possible with temps like they had then, how long a streak is possible if we remain at our recent averages? I realize there are other factors at work, and that there hasn't been a strong correlation between temps and snow yet, but it's not helping.

Just noticed that the 9.9" Coney Island reading was stricken. Wouldn't have been that far off though, as there multiple 8"+ surrounding it, including a 10" on Staten Island. What an interesting storm. The wide range of totals look like how rainfall totals look after a night of scattered strong T storms.

That's the era that owns the longest stretch without a six inch storm right? Only much warmer too. Two words: ugh.

Just checking the NWS Upton observations. 9.9 Coney Island and 7.6 Bay Ridge? Was just scrolling up here and didn't see that mentioned, and those stand out against the other readings. Those are pretty remarkable no?

With all the discussion that's gone on here about relatively snowless periods, the fact that there was a 7 year stretch in which no storm dropped 6" that we haven't talked much about is incredible. Can't imagine pulling for a 6"+ snowstorm knowing it would be our first since January 2017. Eyeballing some rough maps I just found, I see that the 30 year climate average for 1931-1960 was the warmest one since 1901 for around here until being surpassed ever since starting with the 1971-2000 numbers, so maybe that played a role. Anyway, what a dreadful stretch. I bet that the mood on the internet weather boards in February 1956 was pretty sour.

I felt the same way - melting started instantly. Such a different feel between storms that start cold and end colder, clear, and crisp, and a mild storm like this one, where there are puddles even during the storm (though i'm sure my experience on LI was different than N&W). But anyway I guess after 744 days beggars can't be choosers.

"My wife and I were going to go out for dinner but the doorman said the weather is fit for neither man nor beast. So we both stayed home." - Henny Youngman.

Not only that, but sometimes names will pop up that have 15,000 posts and I wonder how did I never see this handle before? Then I think maybe it's me who's 'popping up' since I'm only here in earnest when it snows and maybe they're here year round. Unless posters change names, if that's a thing?

Trying to be that precise with the shading is admirable. Between the population density and the intricacies of the geography, the mets around here should get degree of difficulty points. That thing looks like the gerrymandered NYS congressional district map (historical not political statement - all parties do it.) I'm glad I'm not responsible for having to draw that.

Watching storms like this is like watching a college basketball game between two rivals. The whole game may be exciting, but it's always the last 2 minutes that decide it, and we're at like the 12 minute mark of the second half.

Precisely. Imagine if they ever used a graphic like this, which doesn't cover nearly as many people:

Man we (including me) just do not know how to enjoy a snowstorm on our doorstep. Finally it looks like a mostly snow event for everyone, and right on cue begins the debate about school closures. I don't know how to enjoy it either so here's a variation on it: Since when did suburban sanitation collection grind to a halt the moment we get two inches of snow? And not even delayed til the next day. Just skipped as if the day never even happened.

One of the best parts of it is that while it was snowing hard on Tuesday, consensus was growing for the same thing to happen on Friday, which of course it did.

I just want to know if I was the inspiration for this, since I said I was curbing my enthusiasm. If so, well done.

Relax?

What's interesting is that to read the last few pages of this thread, one could think it's just a matter of just how big our upside surprise will be, with the chance of minimal snow being mostly dismissed. But I don't see Upton, or anyone else responsible for informing the public, budging from the same 1-2" for LI that they've had for days. In the past, while this is sometimes due to those folks being well aware of what everyone here is seeing, but being cautious for now before sounding the alarm, more often than not they don't ever budge and are correct. So I'm curbing my enthusiasm and if I get a nice surprise on Tuesday, that'll be great.

That's just because that's what Accuweather still has up.

Best recent snow/superbowl combo was the nice moderate and relatively cold event during Tampa Bay's win a few years back. By the way - not since the '23 Jets has a defense given Mahomes so much trouble.

That's just it though - if everyone other than the 0.000001% of America on boards like this are watching, they'll do pretty well. So everyone else can watch TWC, and we can watch here. Works for me.

pun intended?

I think this is the winning response lol.

Just an observation - not mentioning any favorites at all - I know we never want politics to ruin this place - but if there's any amount of disruptive snow from this storm, the effects of it on the special congressional election this Tuesday will be studied for awhile. Especially given that the nature of the district is such that there's a significant north shore as well as south shore component. You can theoretically have a storm on Tuesday morning which keeps much of the northern side of the district home while the south shore is dealing with mainly rain. Add to that the fact that there's been early voting for 9 days as well, giving the early vote a potential outsized proportion of the overall vote, it really will be one for interesting discussion.

Wow, what a difference between the posted 10% ('1 in 10') and 90% ('9 in 10') forecasts. Middletown, for example, is at 15" on the 10% map, and 2" on the 90% map.

Was just looking up sunrise/sunset for Barrow. This time of year they add 10-11 minutes of daylight every day. Daylight increasing by over two hours every 10-11 days (the increase was even more in January, like 14-15 minutes a day) must be an interesting part of an overall interesting way of life, weather and astronomical wise.