donsutherland1

241 NOUS41 KBOX 071422 PNSBOX CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-080222- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 922 AM EST Sat Feb 7 2026 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Hartford County... 1 SSE Marlborough 3.5 in 0842 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SW Wethersfield 2.0 in 0800 AM 02/07 Public Bradley AP 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs ...Tolland County... Staffordville 2.4 in 0619 AM 02/07 CO-OP Observer ...Windham County... 3 SE Wauregan 5.0 in 0840 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 4 SW Union 3.5 in 0838 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Pomfret 2.5 in 0744 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Woodstock 2.0 in 0610 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Massachusetts... ...Barnstable County... 1 NE Falmouth 0.2 in 0600 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio ...Bristol County... 1 SW North Attleborough 0.9 in 0741 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 2 NNE Bliss Corner 0.4 in 0559 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio NWS Boston/Norton 0.4 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs 2 ESE New Bedford 0.3 in 0600 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio Acushnet 0.3 in 0600 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio ...Dukes County... West Tisbury 0.2 in 0600 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio ...Essex County... 1 NNE Marblehead 11.5 in 0850 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Beverly 11.0 in 0842 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Salem 10.0 in 0850 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 ESE Danvers 9.3 in 0830 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 ESE Danvers 7.6 in 0755 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 ENE Newburyport 7.0 in 0737 AM 02/07 Public Ipswich 5.5 in 0900 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 WSW Hamilton 5.0 in 0725 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 2 NW Peabody 4.5 in 0845 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 WNW Ipswich 4.0 in 0655 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SSW North Andover 4.0 in 0901 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 NNE Rockport 4.0 in 0910 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Topsfield 3.0 in 0536 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Haverhill 2.0 in 0710 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 W Gloucester 1.0 in 0545 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Franklin County... 1 WSW Ashfield 2.0 in 0800 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio Orange 1.5 in 0750 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Hampden County... 3 WSW Springfield 2.5 in 0900 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 2 SE West Springfield 1.5 in 0745 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio Holland 1.5 in 0805 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 NNW Montgomery 1.0 in 0820 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SSE Westfield 0.7 in 0550 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio ...Hampshire County... 1 WNW North Amherst 2.7 in 0918 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Plainfield 1.0 in 0805 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Middlesex County... 2 W Marlborough 3.9 in 0915 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Pepperell 2.0 in 0802 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SW Lexington 0.9 in 0727 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Norfolk County... 1 WSW Franklin 1.0 in 0755 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Millis 1.0 in 0830 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Suffolk County... 1 NE Beacon Hill 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Logan AP 0.6 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs ...Worcester County... 1 WNW Dudley 2.8 in 0740 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 NW Sturbridge 2.2 in 0730 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter Worcester AP 2.2 in 0730 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs 4 NW Ashburnham 2.2 in 0845 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 1 SSW Berlin 1.5 in 0720 AM 02/07 Public Upton 1.0 in 0755 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter ...Rhode Island... ...Kent County... 1 NNW West Warwick 3.0 in 0800 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter TF Green AP 1.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs ...Providence County... Harrisville 2.5 in 0900 AM 02/07 Public 1 SSW Smithfield 2.2 in 0845 AM 02/07 Amateur Radio 2 SW Glocester 2.2 in 0850 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 2 ENE Providence 1.2 in 0857 AM 02/07 Public ...Washington County... 2 SE Kingston 8.5 in 0905 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 W Richmond 8.0 in 0830 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 3 W South Kingstown 7.5 in 0825 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Ashaway 5.8 in 0850 AM 02/07 Public 4 NNE Narragansett 5.2 in 0803 AM 02/07 Broadcast Media 2 NNE Block Island 5.0 in 0820 AM 02/07 Public 1 WNW Westerly 4.8 in 0820 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter 2 WNW Narragansett 3.5 in 0615 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter &&

The Sound was covered entirely in ice in February 2015. From February 21 viewed from Rye, NY:

Essex County has multiple 5" or above snowfall reports. 1 SE Danvers currently leads the way with 6.5" of snow.

Some blowing snow from last night's powder:

Light snow is falling in Larchmont. There is a dusting.

I agree. In Central Park, it's a top 5 winter during the 21st century and among the top 25% of winters all-time through February 5th. It has featured a big snowstorm, prolonged cold, prolonged snow cover and several bouts of severe cold. December-January was the coldest since 2010-11. All three winter months will likely finish with below normal temperatures.

Here's how Winter 2025-2026 fares in terms of cold and snowfall through February 5th for all winters beginning in 2000-01. Should February wind up snowy, Winter 2025-2026 will solidify its place among 21st century winters.

Central Park's cumulative snow depth through today is 107". Winter 2025-2026 is only the second winter since Winter 2014-2015 to exceed 100" cumulative snow depth with Winter 2020-2021 being the other. A strong surge of Arctic air will arrive for the weekend, likely accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Much of the region could see a coating to an inch of snow early tomorrow morning. The eastern half of Suffolk County could see a 1"-3" snowfall, as some Atlantic moisture from a developing offshore storm could enhance snowfall in that area. The temperature will hold steady or fall slowly throughout the day. Sunday will likely be the coldest day this winter. Temperatures on Sunday will likely top out in the teens in New York City following a low in the single digits. Monday will start very cold, but the afternoon will be less harsh as readings climb into the lower and middle 20s. The persistent and often severely cold pattern will likely break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February, even as milder readings overspread the region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +10.18 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.923 today.

Philadelphia's December-January mean temperature of 33.3° was the coldest such period since Winter 2010-2011 (31.0°). It was tied for the 48th coldest such period on record. New York City's December-January mean temperature of 32.1° was also the coldest such period since 2010-2011 (31.2°). It was also tied for the 48th coldest such period on record.

Uncertainty about the February 15-28 period has increased. What is fairly certain are the following: 1) Substantial warmup in the Plains States 2) Brief cool shot to the Southwest and then a return of warmer conditions. The cool shot likely won't be sufficient to preclude Phoenix from experiencing its warmest winter on record. Moderation is likely to occur across the Great Lakes Region, Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast during and after February 10th. What happens beyond 7-10 days is where things become increasingly uncertain. The CFSv2 favors a continuation of above normal temperatures through the end of February. The ECMWF weeklies bring colder conditions for the February 23-28 period. CFSv2: ECMWF Weeklies: Even as wave lengths are shortening, the Arctic Oscillation (AO) could hold the key. The EPS and GEFS agree on the development of a WPO-, EPO+, PNA- pattern. During such patterns, conditions in the East tend to be much colder when the AO is negative than when it is positive. New York City provides a good example. Since 1980, WPO-, EPO+, PNA-, AO- patterns have seen a mean February 15-28 temperature of 33.9°. In contrast, WPO-, EPO+, PNA-, AO+ patterns have seen a mean temperature of 44.5°. So, if the AO goes positive, the warmth from the Plains will likely come eastward. WPO-, EPO+, PNA-, AO- Patterns: WPO-, EPO+, PNA-, AO+ Patterns: The latest AO forecast is below. A near neutral AO would favor near seasonable to somewhat above seasonable temperatures in the East. Historic experience following the breakdown of long-duration (25-day or longer) AO- regimes that began in February favors AO variability following the breakdown of such regimes. Only 1986 saw a prolonged and strong AO+ regime develop. As noted previously, due to shortening wave lengths, the consensus outcome of a resumption of above normal temperatures in the Southwest to close out February is the base case.

Yes. That's correct. The ECMWF is actually using a potentially somewhat warmer period than 1991-2020 for calculating its subseasonal anomalies. The site mentions: The mean anomalies are derived from the ECMWF Sub-seasonal range ensemble consisting of 100 ensemble members plus a control member and averaged over a seven day period. Anomalies are calculated with respect to the Model Climate, which is derived from re-running an 11-member ensemble over the last 20 years, giving 220 realisations in total. See bottom of: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/opencharts_extended_meteogram?base_time=202602050000&lat=51.4333&lon=-1.0&station_name=Reading A fuller discussion, which also notes 20 years of values, is here: https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FUG/Section+5.3.2+SUBS-M-climate%2C+the+sub-seasonal+model+climatehttps://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FUG/Section+5.3.2+SUBS-M-climate%2C+the+sub-seasonal+model+climate Below is a quick comparison of the 1991-2020 period with the last 20 years for 10 select cities to provide an idea of how things have changed.

Tomorrow will be another cold day with highs in the upper 20s and lows in the teens. A strong surge of Arctic air will arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Much of the region could see a coating to an inch of snow early Saturday morning. The temperature will rise no higher than the lower 20s in New York City Sunday will be even colder. Temperatures on Sunday will likely top out in the teens in New York City with a low in the single digits. The persistent and often severely cold pattern will likely break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +28.05 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.852 today.

I'd like to see the EPO go negative toward the end of February. At that point, due to shortening wave lengths, there would be a stronger shot at a return to cold. Overall, that seems to be a reasonable idea, but there could be other variables that shape the outcome that can't be well-forecast at this point in time.

With shortening wave lengths, it actually becomes better for snowfall in the East than a PNA+.

There's no question that the PNA+ regime is ending. The ECMWF weeklies keep the PNA negative through the duration of their forecast period.

Colder air will move back into the region tonight. As a result, tomorrow and Friday will see highs in the upper 20s and lows in the teens. An even stronger surge of Arctic air will likely arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Highs on Sunday could be in the teens in New York City with lows in the single digits. The persistent and often severely cold pattern could break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February. So far, January 20-February 2 has been the coldest two-week period this winter with a mean temperature of 21.0° in New York city. January 17-30 with 13.4" of snow has been the snowiest two-week stretch. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +31.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.454 today.

I've done the Coney Island polar plunge a few times.

Ray, Don't let the unnecessary jab affect you. Your work, effort to continually learn and improve, and you are highly respected here. People who are insecure often try to shield themselves from their own shortcomings by seizing on and exaggerating the real or perceived flaws, mistakes, and missteps of others. It is a deeply counterproductive approach, especially when it comes to people skills. Success in almost any environment depends on strong interpersonal abilities. Leaders and entrepreneurs succeed, because they can effectively appeal to people in promoting their vision, ideas, products, and services. Without good interpersonal skills, even considerable talent (and he certainly has it) is unlikely to be fully realized or effectively leveraged.

MAX 17F ... MIN 6F ... SNOW 0.2"

Yes. That's due to shortening wave lengths. EPO becomes relatively more important.

Tomorrow will be another relatively mild day. Highs will likely top out in the lower to perhaps middle 30s. A few flurries are possible as a weak system drags a cold front across the region. Colder air will then return on Thursday. An even stronger surge of Arctic air could arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Highs both Saturday and Sunday could be in the teens in New York City. The last time there were two or more consecutive such highs was during January 5-7, 2018. The persistent and often severely cold pattern could break near February 10th. Overall, January 20th-February 3rd will likely be the coldest and perhaps snowiest two-week period this winter. The forecast WPO-/EPO-/AO-/PNA+ pattern is typically the coldest pattern in January and among the coldest during the first half of February. A persistently positive PNA will have above climatological risk of moderate or significant snowfalls. For perspective, the coldest two-week period this winter prior to January 20th was January 3-16, 2026 and January 4-17, 2026 with a mean temperature of 30.3°. The snowiest two-week period was December 14-27, 2025 when 7.2" of snow fell. Already, snowfall since January 20th has surpassed that figure. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +24.06 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.750 today.

2015 is prominently featured in the coldest 30-day periods in terms of minimum temperatures:

Through today, cumulative snow depth is 83” in NYC. That’s the highest since 2015-16.

Newark had a high of -1 on January 10, 1859.

For NYC, only 2002 and 2020 had no measurable snowfall for February 1-March 31.