H2Otown_WX

Well. Gotta give credit where credit is due...THE POPE REIGNS!

Just now, weatherwiz said:

I don't want to be under the death ridge with no convection lol. You've just been baking outside of the solid severe chances you had a few months ago but everything missed you.

We've had .07 of rain since June 10 lmao. We had back to back days of 102 with a dew point of like 73. I get jealous looking at how comfortable it is up there.

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

At this point we really may never get into the bigger heat or anything sustained at least. The pattern across the Arctic domain just doesn't want to let up. That omega block pattern just continues to be persistent. These pieces of shortwave energy which move into southeastern Canada just ride along the jet stream and amplify significantly as they move into southeastern Canada with that strong ridging in the polar region. Also that ridging keeps oscillating between the interior West and central Plains. 

Trust me, you don't want it.

22 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

Hope we get something.. many many years ago can't remember the year but I remember we had small hail from one of these..  I happened to look up and saw a small area of clouds above me was spinning pretty rapidly lasted about a minute but never saw a funnel or anything.. any idea what would cause that?

I believe that was in 2002.

84, 84 days remaining in the period

5 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Some high spot in Woodstock is a good bet too and it's a nice area.

Right, I mean I'm assuming there are many other factors besides being in a weenie snow spot lol. That's probably why Weather-X suggested a place like Ridgefield. That would keep him relatively close to the city but I have no idea if that matters to him or not. Woodstock sounds good but Idk how out in the sticks he's willing to be...if he's restricted to CT and he doesn't mind being in a rural area which I'm thinking as a police officer probably isn't too bad of a gig, then that would be a great spot. If he wants to be in a city and weenie out and he can expand to anywhere in SNE then I would pick Worcester hands down.

11 hours ago, WeatherX said:

Look in Ridgefield. There are some spots near or over 900 feet and they always clean up in marginal events.


.

Meh, I'd look into eastern CT. Much lower cost of living and he'd cleanup in Miller Bs.

10 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Actually yeah, technically. 50" would put me pretty well above average. I estimate that we are somewhere in the 30-35" range for about 100 years or since the start of most modern-day records. And for the past 20 years probably around 45". Especially considering BDRs past 20 years is 38.2" and all time is 29.6".

So strictly based on numbers it's probably more like a B. But usually, for me anyway, a winter and the grade i gave it factors in way more than just straight snowfall...such as expectations, positive/negative busts, daytime vs. nighttime snowstorms, last minute model trends, snowpack and retention, temps, snow or rain/cutters around the holidays, etc.

A lot of negatives for me this winter so far but it's not awful. 2020-2021 was certainly much better at this point.

Right, that makes sense that you take that all into account...given that we just got Juno'd I can totally understand it not being a B- or greater despite above average snowfall. It's crazy that you guys have averaged that much down there in the last 20 years. Does the all-time average include the last twenty? If so, I wonder how low the average would be without those years. You guys have probably beat my area more than half the time in the last twenty years. There's definitely a trend toward storms being farther east I think...also seemingly not many clippers or SWFEs.

On 2/2/2022 at 11:21 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

Given im at around 25" mid-season. One over performing storm, one underwhelming storm...one was night, one was day. Lots of 0.5-2" piddly sh*ts. Not much on the horizon. It's extremely mediocre. 

C

I would think 25" mid-season is pretty good for there, no?

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Kiss of death is when you hear guidance is "trying".

Maybe that should be added to the "Fraud Five"? ...The "Sus Six"?

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Are you still in waterbury?

Yes sir...should I come over for a few tokes so we can talk of the winters of yesteryear when we used to actually get big storms? I'm moving to Little Rock next month for a weather observing job though.

Wow, just jaw-dropping stuff out of SE MA...very underwhelming here. Had only about 4.5" lol.

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

nah, drove down there specifically to measure at the old place, just a tad over 6, although my BIL who lives up top of bunker hill, had close to 8.5, so maybe there was either a little elevation thing or some weird meso thing happening there... buddy in terryville also, about 7... seems like we'd have gotten more here if the growth was better, at 230 this morning it was absolutely ripping but putrid flakes, vis was below 1/4, woke back up at 5 and was less intense and similar flake size, hopefully start of a good run here, although I'll be heading to GA next Friday for a few weeks, so I'm going to miss bulk of winter.

Wow, that's weird...yeah I'm in BH. The depth was 8.5" at noon. I slept through the whole thing lol. Have fun down south. I may be moving to Little Rock soon so, no more snow.

31 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

was just going to ask who came in the highest, don't like how they do the text bulletins now, unless they moved to a different place, used to be easy to read, highest to lowest per cty, had to skim through, seems like norfolk cty and windam cty got the goods for the most part, ended with 3.5" on the dot on the table, but old place in Waterbury had close to 6, more further SE into that fronto band. saw a report from I think killingly of 13.2? I don't remember if that's correct but that area had some 12+ totals

Your old place must have had more than 6". I had about 10" and I'm on the NW side of town.

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

so depressing. 

I wish we would do away with the changing clock crap...keep wat we have now year round. Dark by 4:30 PM....that's crap 

Just move to Indiana.

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Pattern trying so hard to shoot EML's out way. Let's get slapped with EML's

Here, get slapped with a  instead.

25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein expands his webbed hands!

 

Stay safe

Reviving this thread, I could barely find it lol. Anyway, just 41 days until May 1st. Wiz or anyone else, any thoughts on this year's severe season? I'm sure it will disappoint as it usually does lol.

19 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

They started hitting it harder that morning and afternoon. I mean by the noon cast they had to hit it harder since it flipped west of Boston already. Still not even close though lol. Hopefully the crowd on here that’s younger than 30yrs old can get something like that again. It’s just an all timer in so many ways. I don’t get bored talking about it to this day. 

What was the total QPF from it at BOS and ORH?

On 3/8/2021 at 3:20 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

Marth 7-8th 2018.

Light to moderate snow began during the day here. It was mostly white rain with less than <1" by sunset. I thought we would have a hard time with this in the lower elevation areas but that changed quickly after sunset. By the time i had less than an inch of white rain glop, @Sey-Mour Snow was closing in on 8.5" just to the west of me around 550ft. Shortly after sunset radar returns started rapidly deepening and we were under S+ with heavy 1-2"/rates. NWS issued an SPS for 1-3"/hr rates and possible thunder.

 

At this point i went outside for a while and the snow was still coming down very heavily. I saw this huge white flash above my head and thought briefly it was a flood light turning on and then a second late a large summer-time convective clap follwed by even heavier rates. This was probably the most intense thunder snow ive seen since Feb 2001. As i was outside for a while i saw several more CG strikes and extemely loud thunder. The majority of the snow fell from 5-10PM and we ended up with 13.5". I imagine some of the rates reached up to 4"/hr during the period of thunder/lightning.

Forecast for this was really really good but ended up being too low in W CT where some amounts ranged from 16-28". The ranges worked out perfect and the gradient from 0-2-->8-16 SE to W did as well.

Which storm overperformed in '13-'14? I think it was in February...it was either in 2014 or 2015. I just remember it was sort of in two parts and the ULL snows overperformed quite a bit especially down your way.

1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said:

STD Snowfall for CT. (Oct 1 2020 - Feb 21st 2021)

Progression:

 

Boo

Anyone else get the error message: "There was an error trying to insert a new row"? This is the second time it's happened to me. Last time I just waited til the next day or something and it didn't happen.

Just a paltry inch here before the dryslot.

24 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Eps agrees

 

Snowy week ahead

How does it look specifically for Saturday into Sunday? I'm supposed to fly back from AL on Saturday night. Thanks.

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Lol .. not you no. I didn’t mean you. The guilty know who they are. I was bullish on 4-8” statewide based on exactly what you just stated.  If one looked past snow maps and looked at fronto and forcing one could see that being signaled the last couple days. I thought the NAM (while having some high outputs) and the HREF mean showed the overall idea the best. These coastals almost always have that . I just think overall it was a pretty poor performance by the globals as a whole. I’m enjoying the beer out of this today! 

Don't forget a horrific performance from the HRRR.