1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

PNA distribution is west biased and has been much of the season – predominantly so

… just like the NAO can be east or west.. the correlated weather associated with either is different

That spaced PNA doesn’t allow the trough over eastern North America to dig as much you get these flat trajectories… But also while all that’s happening there’s a separate phenomenon related to gradient overabundance, whether you’re in a gradient pattern or not  

The two of those together are like two strikes before the hitter walks up to the plate

 

Ok that's actually a really interesting point about the PNA being west based I never considered that. It's fascinating how the EPO and PNA overlap and affect each other similar to the NAO/AO I guess on the other side.

16 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

But.... Are we?

No

On 1/22/2025 at 3:56 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

Bump

Only the 20 year anniversary of the Cape's biggest snowstorm in recorded history. Not too shabby in other parts of Eastern MA/RI either. 

 

The good old days of the NWS mosaic radar

54 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Basically ... this has been a semi permanent feature for the last 9 weeks. It's a colder supply, but unfortunately negative interference heading east across the continent for cyclogenesis.   This is the 18z op. GFS.  It's Feb 3, and what/if anything that's happened on GHD is behind ... This run places the hemisphere right back in the same mode...  

We would have a great month if the EPO were positive (or maybe like neutral?) and the PNA negative I feel, given the configuration of the Atlantic.

Good hit on the Euro for the 2nd but we all know the caveats of day 11 OP outputs. The GFS is pure 1980s with rain south of the pike and some ice along and north of it then back to cold and dry. Anyway, not worth talking about at this range but there's nothing else to look at lol

4 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

I do remember that lightning; I was standing in the garage at my parents home when it happened. I was 19. It was the last year I had a full head of hair. And in all this time, there is still no treatment that can restore one's hair, no matter what anyone tells you. That's a PSA for any of you who might get sucked in by plugs, rugs, or drugs....

That's funny because almost 30 years later for the January 2011 blizzard was the last time I had a full head of hair at the same age

Edit: I guess the better comparison for your area would be Boxing Day

This better not verify:

On 1/20/2025 at 3:42 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

 

Snowfall Forecast for Quick Hitting Sunday Night Snows Largely Successful 

Minor Forecast Discrepancies

Here is the Final Call for last night's fast moving winter storm (right) versus what actually transpired (left) in terms of total snowfall accumulations.

 

While the forecast overall was fairly representative, the most persistent banding ended up being over the Berkshires into southern Vermont, as opposed to northern Worcester country into southern New Hampshire. Additionally, slightly less snowfall fell versus the expectation over the eastern half of the region due to the slower arrival of the colder air relative to modeling, thus 4-7" would have been more appropriate versus the 5-8" range that was utilized.

 

Final Grade: B

 

You're pretty hard on yourself man. You schooled professional forecasters.. 5-8 vs 4-7 be damned.

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

yeah that's a close 3rd, but not as impactful as 78 or Oct 11... that was the most intense snow I've ever seen though. 96 came close at times, I was out bar hoppin in Waterbury during that, fun times.

Boru's? Lol

3 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

was thinking about this comparison earlier, or the 93 storm how hyped that was, and delivered, my all time memory is 78, not much has topped that but Oct 11 comes close as a lifetime event.

Feb 13?

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Wow

 

 

 

Disrobing from MYR to SAV

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Southern snow and weather balloons

Haha, that actually is a remarkable jet speed though. Guess that helped with the southern snowstorm we're also ecstatic about.

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Cloudy here should keep temps real tonight.

You don't think you'll clear out after 06z?

35 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Upton

With a very strong part of the jet stream overhead, known as a jet streak, our weather balloon this evening measured 203 knots (234 mph) at 250 mb (around 33,000 ft)! A 200+ knot wind has only been measured during 10 other launches from our site, dating back to 1952.

This is what we've reduced our excitement to...Winter 2024-25 rolls on

Then we just need Ray's SSW to show up and save the day in March and salvage the winter with an '88 redux. Should be easy to do if New Orleans can get a foot.

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Second half of feb looks very warm. 

2 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Any burgeoning heat domes to start Feb?  I’m ready to turn the page to warmer weather. 

The Euro had one in clown range yesterday off to our west and southwest but, doubt it will come to pass. We'll probably freeze our asses off right through March.

Edit: Actually the Euro has us warming up at the end of the 12z run today so maybe it's on to something? Shows a high close to 50 on the 4th lol

Well, congrats on exceeding most of SNE seasonal totals at 30N.

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I keep thinking back to the top 5 driest falls and how every single one of them all had dry/ not snowy winters. That was not a good sign . 

I remember how dry 01-02 was. I think 05 had a really dry summer but then the fall went nuts with tropical remnants in October.

40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gonna be high level clouds tonight for awhile SE of ORH to BDL.

Stay safe

How could BDL be +3.4F departure but BOS is -0.5F? Really wish they would fix the temperature sensor at BDL.

46 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

ever consider it was windy last night and some of the snow blew off the car top ?

Yes

Does anyone know which model verified the QPF best? I guess it's difficult to tell since everyone had varying ratios.

33 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

We're gonna have to nickel and dime it this year I'm afraid; but one good storm ( IMO 8 in or above ) can help a lot. While Metuchen measured 3.75 nearby me, I only saw about 2 on the grass and driveway; the cartops had around 3. Odd, I guess the warmer ground ate up a lot of early snow.

I actually had the exact opposite happen. Car top was about an inch less than the grass...I averaged the two hedging slightly toward the grass since it was a depth measurement several hours after the snow had ended.

@The 4 Seasons I'll go with 3.2" as my storm total. It was only 2.6" on my car but I'm thinking it may not have stuck initially and or some blew off from the high winds. The depth in my grass was around 3.5"