H2Otown_WX

30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

John's ability to assess the most minute details at H5 is second to none....like the split in the SW out west that ruined the Tuesday deal. 

Flow bifurcation FTL? Imagine him being a TV met trying to explain this stuff on air lol

25 minutes ago, Sandstorm94 said:

Once we get the screamer out of here we can properly track, we hold serve. It is just the 12th of January, we got 7 weeks left

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

It should be a little more but Ray is going with Morch

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Then there is the CMC. We hold the course.

It jackpots Iceberg and I so no

30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Take a page from the NNE crew. Just sit back on the fringes until 48hr then perk up with a shoulder shimmy when the mesos tick nw. 

And then take a gummy?

Just a powderkeg of potential...makes you wonder which charts Pope is looking at...maybe something from the 1300s?

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The bigger question is…do you believe that? 

Not really but he didn't jinx 1/7 like I thought he did. It's weird seeing the GFS this amped, definitely a red flag

19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lots of deep interior hits there

Dick Tolleris said suppression is the concern

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

At the very least, it does look like a more prolonged period of BN temps starting after the 1/13 system.

Let's freeze and be dry like it's 1985?

26 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Actually reminds me a lot like 2/5/16, especially on the Canadian 

Wasn't that a DC/BWI/PHL special?

29 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Op runs looks like dung so far at 00z Cut Cut, Mix, Dry

2020s winters going the way of the 1980s?

50 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

Here ya go ... whack off to this

Great. Three feet where nobody lives

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I expected to get some retribution on you this month....if you recall, I have been invoking January 1987 and 2003 snowfall distribution patterns for this January dating back to last fall.

Nah, you're always wrong. Get a life bro.

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

18.75"....18" settled depth.

Still snowing as of 9pm

Congrats on a MECS (or HECS?) For many of us this winter may be another forgotten dud but you'll always remember this as the Pacific Pope Blizzard

1/13 looks like crap down here but looks good for NNE and even CNE on the Canadian. 1/17 coming in hot on the Euro. Also of note is a massive Arctic outbreak in the Plains/OHV at the end of the run. The CMC is even more extreme bringing single digits well into TX.

Official theme song of this thread:

"Wolfie thought to build a pack, but DIT's screamer washed it all away"

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ain’t happening James, enjoy out east. 

Joe Rogan is right. CT sucks.

21 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

have exceeded my expectations already as we approach 10" here, and if guidance verifies, tomorrow late morning should ramp up some deform and pick up possibly a few more, right on!

'Grats dude

14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it's not certain that it won't cut... cutting during that timeframe around the 17th just isn't the favored outcome. suppression seems more likely than a cutter given that pattern

Ok well Tip agreed so that's good but I wonder why the Ops are so out to lunch? You would think the latent heat from the cutter on Tuesday/Wednesday would strengthen the block enough to stop the 13/14 from cutting.

7 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

they all disagree

I mean how can you glean what the outcome is at the surface when you're just looking at h5? I understand it looks more favorable but I don't think you can say for certain it won't cut. And to be fair, I didn't see your post of the EPS lol.

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Geps disagree

Look at the ensembles this far out 

Yeah, look at the ensembles that give you the most snow even though they're from the least reliable model

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

I am super curious to see how tomorrow morning plays out and whether the CCB gets a second wind. HRRR is really hitting that.

No, it's one of the phantom five. Wraparound, NORLUN, TORs, not sure what the other two are I'm rusty lol

28 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

4.25”, tickling the dry slot now. 
 

First round of shoveling complete. 

We just got

12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

First 3 hours of snow as of 8:30pm have amounted to .6" the DEMON has just moved overhead with 30-40dbz for the next while it seems. Lets see if we can get to 6" or more for this storm.. 

2 hours ago, Heisy said:

Weenie OPs tonight


.

The GEPS don't agree with the OP to my untrained eye. Also the GFS was a huge cutter. I guess that's the risk we run with the trof axis so far west.

1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said:

dumps the core of the negative height anomalies further west as the block retrogrades

Oh ok, that's an odd look to me but, what do I know?