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H2Otown_WX

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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. I'm just saying when you have a pattern that's a couple weeks colder than climo it's nice to cash in and we often did in the 2000s. Just had a rough stretch of Decembers in recent years which I'm starting to wonder if it has something to do with CC but you would probably have a better grasp on that since you have been following winter twice as long.
  2. It's roughly 1/3 for a White Christmas in the Hartford area. I wouldn't call that anywhere close to "99 out of 100" but whatever
  3. 99 times out of 100...yeah I don't think so man. I've lived here for 31 out of 33 years so no, I'm not new. I started following weather in 2000-01 and since then we've had appreciable snow prior to Christmas at least 7 or 8 times. Granted most of those were in the 2000s ('02, '03, '05, '07, '08 and '09) but yeah, you're exaggerating big time. It hasn't happened much recently.
  4. 00z GFS is brutal...almost entirely well above normal temps start at D5 with the exception of D11.
  5. You do realize who you're talking to/which thread this is, right?
  6. That's my all-time melt and the end of my potential forecasting career lol...how much did you get? 28"?
  7. OT but every time I look at your avatar I throw up in my mouth a little. That's Jan 2015 right?
  8. I stand corrected, SPECI a few minutes ago had them down to 1 SM with -SN
  9. Oh ok, I don't know my geography up that way too well...does Sturbridge lack the elevation of Holland/Union? I know Union has high elevations that usually cash in.
  10. Is that a 6" magenta shading dot over Sturbridge?
  11. Yeah, and then he can say CT snow doesn't matter because we're all a bunch of rednecks.
  12. Reverse psychology? I think you need to change your username back to Metfan or whatever. The MJO one is bad juju.
  13. Good point about climo...what part of CT are you in? I guess when we have a pattern much more favorable than climo temp wise anyway you hope you can cash in with like a 6-10" type deal regardless of the calendar.
  14. Seems like our heralded great pattern is only going to yield and inch or two of snow. Guidance completely lost the threat on the 8th. I suppose there's an outside chance it will come back but the pattern may be breaking down at that point. We've also trended warmer for the 11th which was looking like a potential icing event yesterday. Boo. EDIT: Didn't realize the GFS is still advertising a wintry outcome for the 10th/11th. Still way out there...
  15. GFS looks a bit more progressive for the threat next weekend. Initially I thought it was more amplified but the ridge out west wasn't as stout so it escaped east more quickly.
  16. Damn, you found me lol. Idk it just looks like we're squandering a golden opportunity for the first half of the month. I feel with CC we don't get as many windows of opportunity as even 10-15 years ago.
  17. This winter sucks. I have to be in here to say that so a certain central CT wolf doesn't bite my leg off.
  18. Nice...congrats! Why is it so much colder there than at CON? You're not very far apart maybe 30-40 miles? Is it just because of the storm track?
  19. Definitely getting a sinking feeling looking at the 12z runs today. Looks like we could squander the first half of the month with cold and dry followed by rain.
  20. Could this bit of news be influencing your opinion? https://apnews.com/article/gray-wolves-protections-biden-trump-81084b1bba499d444950f8294880c524
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