H2Otown_WX
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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX
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Gotcha...I know BDL did really well in that December 2019 storm. I don't think we got much here but I was living out in Milwaukee at the time.
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Yeah I was just looking at that. That storm and the one in December were good. I think I had a foot or so in each. I see southeast NY really cleaned up in the February one.
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Yeah I get it, your area averages like low 60s per season right? Did you get porked in December 2020? I think February '21 or '22 had a good storm here too.
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Didn't you notch a 20 burger last season?
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Close but no cigar...I don't think it's the worst spot to be in at D6. If you look at h5 at hr 150 we're not far from it being a forum wide crusher.
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Ohhhh ok. Cool, just found it on Tidbits. The 18z made a pretty big jump at hr 144 vs 150 on the 12z.
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What the hell is Skynet? Sounds like a PWS network of weenies reporting their weather conditions to the local news.
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Hate to say it but I could see this going that rout. PTSD in full effect. I can't believe that was 10 years ago.
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Ok wow yeah I didn't realize there was that much in 2016 there. SnowGoose just explained what happened with NYC in Juno and why they got more than surrounding areas.
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January 2016 probably
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It's not even that cold lol
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They probably had less, I had 6" 80 miles NE of them.
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I did, but it has flip flopped every run since yesterday's 18z. I guess it's a small sample size but we'll see.
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Is it a red flag that it keeps oscillating between leaving the energy in the SW behind on the 00 and 12z runs and phasing it on the 06 and 18z? I know there was discussion earlier today about how the off hour run thing doesn't exist but that seems suspiciously coincidental.
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Partial phase?
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Snowgoose says it's a no go in the NYC thread and I respect the hell out of him as a forecaster.
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Maybe time for an avatar change to shake things up?
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Its own ensembles think it's out to lunch...almost half have nothing and a few are suppressed to the south congrats DC-PHL type deals. Looks like maybe 3 that are similar to the OP.
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Looks nearly identical to the 18z GFS until it jumps SE in the later panels. I'm wondering why it's so progressive when we have the blocking in place? I guess because the block is relaxing a bit in that timeframe?
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Do you have the prior frames or does it not form until hr 174?
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I would say the 18z run does look similar to that storm but that changed BOS to rain
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Not that it matters but don't you think the 700 mb track on the 18z is much less favorable than 12z? Looks like there would be dryslot issues for CT anyway.
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How do you use December '92 for every analog?
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Yep, you were right. Two runs in a row now...I would like to see it on some other guidance too. I know the EPS improved so hopefully that continues tonight. Can't say I feel too great about being close to the jackpot zone at 7 days out but at least there seems like a good chance of something.
