DopplerWx
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Everything posted by DopplerWx
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if im on the sc coast the 00z EPS would reinforce the fact that preparation is vital. the nhc cone is there for a reason.
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yep, like irma's guidance just farther north.
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gfs comes in sw and slows it down again. have to think it may still be a bit too far N but it moves towards the euro for sure. big to see as it has been an obx landfall the last 6-7 runs or so.
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this is what concerned me, models shifting south as we close in. luckily the gfs still shows an offshore stall but the euro ensembles all being at the nc/sc border and some further south is worrisome.
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Pretty concerned that we may see a shift west inside 72 hrs like we did with Irma, except this time it wouldn’t be good for SC.
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looks like a sc landfall incoming on the euro. right over the gulf stream too.
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pretty concerning as i wouldn't be shocked to see the ridge even stronger than modeled. recurvature sure seems less and less likely at this point. also, with the expected forward speed over the warm gulf stream as it approaches the coast, would not be surprised to see minimal weakening prior to any possible landfall.
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great song!
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Radar is so typical for a rdu snow, shouldn't even be that surprised.
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i moved away so rdu will jackpot. snow curse has been lifted.
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after rdu gets 4" tonight i will be the only one in the sanitarium. bummer.
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we need to remember for future storms that the nw trend only happens if it screws you with temps. otherwise you can bank on being dry.
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hrrr gives rdu ZERO precip. good lord.
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CR what time are you planning on reviving the "what did we learn" thread?
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hrrr has shifted precip east each of the past 4 runs, very similar to the new nam. uh oh...
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970 mb low off Wilmington and still bone dry, laughable really. We learned last year to never trust the models until you see snow falling from the sky
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I've seen this movie plenty of times. Gonna be a epic storm offshore with a brutal cutoff and minimal precip back to 95. Friggin Florida with more snow than clt and rdu.
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if you want snow just have me move away from your town. used to live in charleston, now theyre getting 2-4". moved from raleigh, now they will see some snow. meanwhile charlotte is bone dry.
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because you did that we will have a jan 2000 redux and you will go down in infamy lol
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who was it that deleted it?
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nam is giving chest compressions for the nyd event, ill toss a rope for those who jumped off the cliff.
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glad i saw my 5" of snow a few weeks ago in nyc, makes it a lot easier to watch these storm threats disappear.
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The December to Remember 7th-8th blue turd winter threat thread.
DopplerWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
another inch or so on the back end for western nc and ga, what a great storm for you guys. -
The December to Remember 7th-8th blue turd winter threat thread.
DopplerWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
also this should scare you if you have visions of clown maps dancing in your head, models may be underdoing the warm nose (imagine that) Jonathan Wall @_jwall RDU flight observed sounding vs SREF from last night. Notice shallow warm layer from 900-1000mb and the tiny warm nose just before 800mb. It’s as if it was trying to tell us something! -
The December to Remember 7th-8th blue turd winter threat thread.
DopplerWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
warm nose right now looks very similar to the hires nam and hrrr from last night. when you have both of them showing the snow line above you it is usually the kiss of death.
