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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    I should not have said solely, my bad.
  2. Bubbler86
    I know you are focusing on us but 116 in Minn!
  3. Bubbler86
    Nothing model wise has done well with with severity or qpf amounts from what I have noticed...just days to watch for the chances. You could try to dig into PWATS and Cape but frankly those have not exactly been perfect bellwethers either.
  4. Bubbler86
    Yea, my pic was a joke not taking a side. Mike Lindell is open for anything.
  5. Bubbler86
  6. Bubbler86
    77 and hazy sun at 11:30. Not sure we get 90 today.
  7. Bubbler86
    I gave a like for part one of your post :-).
  8. Bubbler86
    HRRR is a little more eager to spin stuff up this afternoon now. Mostly MSV and USV but we may be tracking again today. Tomorrows stuff most active in the same place on the HRRR.
  9. Bubbler86
    I think it was quite quiet last year until August. I remember myself commenting that the forecasts may be wrong but then it took off in Aug and Sept.
  10. Bubbler86
  11. Bubbler86
    I may be confusing events here vs. Florida but some events I remember had actual ash on the ground.
  12. Bubbler86
    All I read was this...uh oh. Should I go turn on CNN for further instruction?
  13. Bubbler86
    I stopped in the MA thread and saw several comments similar to yours. I have not noticed anything myself. With a front (albeit a weak one) passing tomrorow, I wonder if it gets a bit worse with the mixing down and then clears out after passage.
  14. Bubbler86
    I hope not. The Big Fireman's Carnival is nigh. If rain ruins the festivities I could see the local folks getting ornery and a real Pillow fight could break out.
  15. Bubbler86
    I think its pretty easy to know one area/poster that will see a trash can full of rain from pop up storms.
  16. Bubbler86
    I think it is pretty telling that except for 1953, when it did it multiple times, its only reached 100 twice (1973 and 1983) after August 15th.
  17. Bubbler86
    For October, MDT did hit 97 twice and 93 once in 1941 and 93 in 2019 otherwise it has never been close. Surprising MDT has never hit 100 after September 3rd. If you take away the great heat wave of September 1953, MDT has only hit 100 two days after August 15th so its very rare.
  18. Bubbler86
    I also have that 7/25 date in my favor. It becomes less likely to hit 100 after that date and much less likely after Aug 8th (using MDT records as a guide). The long heat wave comment is more of a guess and seeing guidance not showing anything like that in to early August.
  19. Bubbler86
    MY general view of looking at various runs, the last few days, is that whatever heat is in the center of the country will eventually move east but it is shunted and minimized a bit from extremes. I truly think our chances of hitting 100 are dwindling and really a long heat wave is starting to see less likely.
  20. Bubbler86
    I still think you do not hit 97 this season. We are fully on the down swing now.
  21. Bubbler86
    Yea, they will get those 3 players. I feel they are still BY FAR the gold favorite but this is certainly not America's best. Big Sleepy McGee.
  22. Bubbler86
    So we can assume 0Z never happened. Hey did you see JaVale Mcgee is on the US Basketball Team now as one of the Covid replacements? They must be down to asking for people who have nothing else to do.
  23. Bubbler86
    Several different lollipops of 2" through the center of the state yesterday.
  24. Bubbler86
    @TimB84, GFS keeps making the weekend even more "pedestrian" temp wise. A Ho Hummer. AM weather on the 3 days leading up to it is glorious though. CMC not so much.
  25. Bubbler86
    So the met's are thinking "done and done", it did not rain here"?
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