Not sure it matters in the big picture but think it is an August snow storm for the Eastern Side of Canada. Did not notice when the northwest got their snow. Dog days of august!
18Z GFS says "Sorry about the false alarm" and never once takes MDT over 90 at the 18Z hour. Has possible 30's at the end of the run for Bradford. The chess match continues.
Its a right of passage, when you get older, to yell at the kids to get off your grass. Get off my vinca does not have the same ring of authority to it.
Somehow this map keeps getting worse. Some areas of VA have no precip for 16 days. Will call BS on that but still crazy low totals. Convection will make this map moot for the Have's.
The idea of a large Central US ridge, whether country wide or not, has been shoved down our throat now for several days. I think we likely have some days in the 90's (both sides of the state) next week.
It technically gets me up to 100 a week from tomorrow but the temp map is all over the place with 10 degree spreads from near by areas so not taking it literally. That coast to coast ridge is a painful site to look at though just for the cap it will put on anything significant rain wise. The GFS basically minors out Sunday's rain influence on Southern PA.
Nothing model wise has done well with with severity or qpf amounts from what I have noticed...just days to watch for the chances. You could try to dig into PWATS and Cape but frankly those have not exactly been perfect bellwethers either.
HRRR is a little more eager to spin stuff up this afternoon now. Mostly MSV and USV but we may be tracking again today. Tomorrows stuff most active in the same place on the HRRR.