Somehow this map keeps getting worse. Some areas of VA have no precip for 16 days. Will call BS on that but still crazy low totals. Convection will make this map moot for the Have's.
The idea of a large Central US ridge, whether country wide or not, has been shoved down our throat now for several days. I think we likely have some days in the 90's (both sides of the state) next week.
It technically gets me up to 100 a week from tomorrow but the temp map is all over the place with 10 degree spreads from near by areas so not taking it literally. That coast to coast ridge is a painful site to look at though just for the cap it will put on anything significant rain wise. The GFS basically minors out Sunday's rain influence on Southern PA.
Nothing model wise has done well with with severity or qpf amounts from what I have noticed...just days to watch for the chances. You could try to dig into PWATS and Cape but frankly those have not exactly been perfect bellwethers either.
HRRR is a little more eager to spin stuff up this afternoon now. Mostly MSV and USV but we may be tracking again today. Tomorrows stuff most active in the same place on the HRRR.
I stopped in the MA thread and saw several comments similar to yours. I have not noticed anything myself. With a front (albeit a weak one) passing tomrorow, I wonder if it gets a bit worse with the mixing down and then clears out after passage.
I hope not. The Big Fireman's Carnival is nigh. If rain ruins the festivities I could see the local folks getting ornery and a real Pillow fight could break out.