Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Let me clear my throat.
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I will be here keeping the lights on.
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Its definitely been a bit more consistent than the EC for the time frame of this weekend and next week. Its move the warm temps north and south of us a few times but out there its kept them on most runs.
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66 would be MDT's low for today so far.
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A nice .9" here.
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You have to spread it around a little, right?
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LOL. Post of the month!!
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Cash and I stole it from the Pumpking.
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I am cooking my hot dogs as fast as I can so I do not get wet trying to grill when raining.
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It's well known that I am a big modeler and the HRRR has been about as solid as any model has ever been (of late). I think it will fall by the wayside once winter kicks in but its been a much better forecaster of weather than anything the NWS has put out.
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Chambersburg stole your thunder.
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Poor HRRR....gets no respect.
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Regardless of actual temps, both EC and GFS agree on the trough out West.
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I get the feeling that this airmass would be a true heatwave if it came in the summer but is battling the season and lack of daytime heating (compared to July/Early August) to really impress with its daytime highs.
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And high nighttime lows... at MDT especially. Daytime highs are not too far from normal most days.
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Just like yesterday, the 12Z EC is trying to back peddle on the more excessive heat for you. Wed 18Z goes from 89 to 78.
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Ironically most of us are not on the Jerry Wagon. After 25 years most have lost their patience.
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Only the Yankees of that bunch of Teams give the Cowboys much stress of being replaced as the most popular team in America. NBA and MLB are eliminated automatically. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/America's_Team
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Only America's team would cause non fans to change their persona's.
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+ 5 to +10. Not -10. Edit-Wait maybe you were saying you read it as a -10. LOL.
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Turning out to be quite the cloudy and wet (though not a lot of rain) day. HRRR has a line of convection moving through the LSV around dusk.
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MDT is shooting for a -8 high departure and +8 low departure right now. Though I think we get below 69 before midnight today. Lots of rain popping up in Western PA.
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6Z 90's in the Dakota's.
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I am still of the opinion that its early for real "fall weather". I was and am still hoping for a negative departure month though. That is still up in the air. Probably a positive by about 2-3 degrees as we hit Sept 20th (using GFS data.) MDT wise the normal is still in the upper 70's on Sept 20.
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I just saw the GFS warms back up again going into the following week. Not looking great for a negative September today. But just a few days ago I calculated out that we would be around -6 on Sept 20th so its back and forth.
