Bubbler86

Football talk is filling the empty vacuum left behind by the 18Z GFS.

I love offensive based teams. OSU looked likes slugs to me the games I have seen so far but they are making good right now.

18Z GFS...back to football talk. The third consecutive CFP game is 14-0 in the first quarter.

I was ready for y'all to disagree which is fine, just opinions. But a few points to back my thought 1) Who was the better QB in the PSU/Boise Game? Not clear. Could argue either side. 2) How could the big PSU lineman give up 3 sacks and several more QB pressures to the undersized Boise Team? 3) Would PSU want to go back and accept the game as is/play it out if that somewhat questionable penalty had not wiped the final Boise TD off the board? Same point as if PSU not fumbling may have lead to 21-0. Game changing moments. I am not saying Boise was better yesterday and I apparently gave them too much credit but they are also not minced meat who were an embarrassment to the game. They outgained PSU which to me is a telling stat that the game was closer than the score. I am guessing the 412 yards Boise gained was the second most given up by PSU this season. A bit of that was in garbage time. One place there was a huge disparity was TE. Tyler Warren made two incredible TD catches. Another point, if Boise scores a TD in that final drive, how many bettors would have been pissed. LOL

I personally think too much credit is given to big conference schools. Boise out gained psu last night and ran through their defense like doo doo through a goose. But a couple bad turnovers, two missed fg's and the better team won...but the talent was not far apart imo.

Have not been following the game but after reading comments here I was not expecting to see it was just a two score game still in the third quarter.

I had posted my thoughts this AM. Unless we get a more severe cut to save us before any transfer, I think we are sitting in the 2-4" range as of now. I know there is the always commented trend north but that is going to take a weakening of the high currently progged IMO. So, "if" that happened then North can proceed. No time to study models today but still wonder if there will be a screw zone to our south and west where people are seeing higher totals on snow maps. PS-has been graupling on and off all day over here. Temps near 40.

Some of it is SW air delivery. I have the same "issue" over here in Franklin. Where I see those 5 shades in one county it has frequently been in areas that change over quickly with SW intrusion.

On mobile so not posting over but that cut off shown on the UK, regardless of where, as is how I personally see this playing out if a sip does attack the dome.

Snow is snow. Both Nam and Rgem showing a "bullseye" for the southern tier late Friday.

The 84 hour Nam's surface chart is not that much different than the EC. Low is a few MB's weaker but in a similar position. The high coming out of Canada is pressing a slight bit more. The cold press from the SLP in NE Canada and Block up there is a bit higher as the 540 line is down in Central NC instead of SC. But no way to extrapolate much from this IMO

The 1/3 or 4 threat is the one some keep trying to bring back in the MA. But yea, spacing here is everything as I think many agree on.

Definitely can change, I am posting what I see currently as well as a bit of my gut. I do not see the 6Z GEFS having a bullseye over us though. That qpf map I posted above was from 6Z.

Just model disco. I do not play the game of wishcasting. 2-4" of snow would still be nice it if happened.

Not a big fan of even using ensemble qpf maps but if one looks at the qpf totals for both the GEFS and EPS (which again is always a risk especially with extreme events) , our area is the precip hole because the low's forcing/energy transfer out from under us while it is making its approach. Major changes in the initial approach or the high's pressure could change this dramatically so this is just a model discussion as to these 2 maps but this scenario has been the more common one for several days now.

2" near I80 would not be out of this world with the modeled setup (does not mean that is what actually happens) just not sure nay of the real fgen gets up here with the block. Outside a few outliers like the UK, models have consistently shown the system minoring out in some manner (transfer.) I think 2-4" for much of the LSV would be a super safe call right now as it would not take much snow to accumulate with the cold. Less Eastern LSV.

I would put the big snows Fredericksburg and East right now if doing a forecast that far out. Big as in 6-10".

I unfortunately am in DT's camp right now. I am not sure this one is ours. I feel like we have a better shot with the next one that sweeps up from the SE. For that heavier swath of snow to get to us we will need it to cut a bit more. There is one thing I do not like in his wording and that is tracking East. More and more buying into the Miller B scenario where the block is such that it does not track, it transfer. So those EC totals would be overdone as a whole area total vs. smaller/specific areas.

Happy New Year's all.

It was a group effort...like using ensembles for snow maps.

Congrats to Psu. I thought Boise showed their skill but could not break away on enough big plays. Psu deserved the win.

Boise's kicking game has countered PSU's negative play calls. Uncomfortable watching that non-athletic guy. Boise's offense is top notch but all these errors.

Yep.

Boise missed a fg and also had a bad fumble...and their d-back missed a pick 6 opportunity. Psu obviously playing better but this game could be a lot closer.