Bubbler86

RIP Jimmy Carter . A lot of important people passing away lately.

Early summer in some cases. Some models have the transfer taking place near Bermuda and dry here. If we have to deal with warm days, let them be on weekends.

Some 68-70's on wu now.....66 in rou.

That phrase storms and rumors of storms is a Joe B/Elliot Abrams things in my memory.

The Joe B/Blizz storms and rumors of storms certainly applies to the Jan 6th and on period. Just need to get it several days closer to really see some model consistency to try and "parse" more details.

GFS still has cutter with front end frozen to start off the second week of January. Not present on GEM. Up to 64 here now. Did not know we would be getting mid-upper 60's today. I was forecasting 61-63.

Some of the models started backing off the rains 24-48 hours ago but here is the 12Z Thur GFS for time period 90 min from now. Drastic difference vs. radar as of now.

Not at all and latest model runs are underwhelming for both tonight (which was supposed to be an all day rain today) and possibly Tue but Tue is a Miller B so nothing ever set in stone with that. Just .35 so far for the weekend here.

Partly sunny and 62 here. Were it not for the crazy wind and the rain still to our west, it would be a chamber day.

Almost to 60 already. Gust of 42.

54 this AM. A dark and dank Sunday probably upcoming. Record high at MDT is a crazy 75 today so not reaching that.

Agreed. I forget which run/model I looked at but two days it looked like it was going to stay in the lows 40's over here today. Now we are headed for an AN high anomaly of close to 20 degrees. Already 52 up at elevation. Mid 50's north of me.

Did he mean a Snoop Dogg Fo Sure or For Sure?

Thank you, and yes (although I am guilty occasionally too) the one thing that makes me cringe is seeing posts with definitive statements. A day or two ago a statement that Saturday WILL be a rainy, coolish day looked like a sure bet. It is currently Partly Sunny and 46 here...maybe headed for a run near 60. Other NWS sites, except MDT, all into the 40's already.

Concur and I would guess, without doing math, it is 1.5-2BN. Only 4 days left to lower it. Also, in sad new RIP Greg Gumbel. A legend of sports.

Your post made me go back and check records as it has been more than a couple down here. In MDT's history it has only finished under 10" of snow 6 times since 1890. The period checked was Nov 1 through May 31. Three of them have been in the last quarter century with two in the last 5 years. I purposely kept the Oct 2011 snow out of this list as it would hide what was a truly terrible winter for snow. Since the beginning of the decade (with some time Nov/Dec 2019) only one year has been decent as to snow totals at MDT.

Thank goodness I do not have to go to Hanover today! You would probably block traffic to make me feel the pain.

To clarify, I was only forecasting 60's Sunday (though someone may pop today.). AN for 7-14 days, probably 7 or 8 as trends continue to favor cold afterwards.

43 (with a low of 41) and about .25" of rain since last evening. Rain pulling out earlier than forecast. Appears to be mostly done for much of the LSV...a good 4-6 hours early compared to some runs the last 24-48 hours. HRRR has some making a run for upper 50's today.

Not going to trust that the models are right on the dot. If I saw one week and it goes to 8 days, then it is wrong.

18Z GFS had Friday but that was why I said 1-2 weeks. Had the Thur low in the 30's but getting colder into Friday AM.

Watch those lows. A high of 42 and a low of 30 is AN.

I love cold as long as there is some precip withy it. 15 and dry is not ideal. Just wasting oil and electricity. Last I checked models, 47 for a high will be cool compared to the next week to two.

Crazy 47 here today.

Nooners. Mostly sunny and 44