A double barrel low, which has been represented on both the Nam and HRRR, is more likely to resist being pushed SE prior to transfer IMO. It is a larger area of "force" per se instead of a singular and centralized area.
Something to be said for the continued look of a dual banded structure on the Northers. Not one isolated spot of LP vs. a broad area of multiple vorts. The "L" keeps bouncing on the Pivotal panels.
That is similar to what would happen if a SLP goes through N VA and there is little to no minoring out of the shield. But that was more to point out that there is a preponderance of models with more that 4" above the M/D line. Not a forecast.
It could be so much more though with that track. I love the 6-10" hammer (some silly person on MA just said no models have 4" above the m/d) but perplexed a bit why it is not.