Let's that the GEFS for example...it is just slowing bleeding to a point where I would say the pattern change (per se) has evolved into a colder regime on this map but colder and cold are 2 different things. If we were in a NS dominated flow, I would expect it to be much colder than this but if spilt stream, then we are fighting temps with this look. Timed right, we are good, timed wrong we are not. More looking at temps in Southern Canada vs over PA. Don't blame anyone for moving back a week on expectations now vs the 13th-18th time frame.