Bubbler86

Another random October. Check out those highs. The lows were "better" but still it did not get into the low 40's until the 17th. Hard to argue that the lows have been not good recently. 61 here this AM. 1973-10-01 70 48 59.0 -2.8 6 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-02 70 60 65.0 3.6 0 0 0.71 0.0 0 1973-10-03 78 61 69.5 8.5 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-04 82 54 68.0 7.5 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-05 76 55 65.5 5.4 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-06 72 45 58.5 -1.2 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-07 67 46 56.5 -2.8 8 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-08 74 55 64.5 5.6 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-09 70 59 64.5 6.0 0 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-10 72 57 64.5 6.4 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-11 65 56 60.5 2.8 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-12 70 52 61.0 3.7 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-13 73 51 62.0 5.1 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-14 73 56 64.5 8.0 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-15 76 52 64.0 7.9 1 0 0.02 0.0 0 1973-10-16 63 45 54.0 -1.7 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-17 57 41 49.0 -6.4 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-18 55 40 47.5 -7.5 17 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-19 59 38 48.5 -6.1 16 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-20 70 46 58.0 3.8 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-21 62 38 50.0 -3.9 15 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-22 67 36 51.5 -2.0 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-23 67 40 53.5 0.4 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-24 72 41 56.5 3.7 8 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-25 72 40 56.0 3.6 9 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-26 73 41 57.0 4.9 8 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-27 69 47 58.0 6.3 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 1973-10-28 57 42 49.5 -1.8 15 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-29 58 44 51.0 0.0 14 0 1.67 0.0 0 1973-10-30 50 38 44.0 -6.6 21 0 T 0.0 0 1973-10-31 57 34 45.5 -4.8

That must mean it's over. They have an unparalleled history of being on the mark every time.

The Ocean

Has winter been cancelled? LOL

Lows near or possibly below 40. I will take it. Many nights in winter will not get that low. Will it happen? LOL, who knows. A snapshot of one model run.

So I cannot say Hey How are Ya, Hey How are Ya and just smile about it? GFS has low 40's several days in MDT starting 11 days from now. Could be gone in 6 hours but just mentioning. 4-5 nights in a row.

Maybe. I am more just trying to keep the feelings cool and not make this look like we are on the precipice of a volcano. Its not at all cold, chilly, crisp, or fall like but compared to Octobers of the last 15-20 years, its actually pretty normal and no where near the warmest ones up to this point. I mean even MDT has dipped to 48 at this point. That is something many Octobers do not have yet. I saw Octobers with lows in the 70s.

Was checking out Octobers recently and its been mainly mild over the last 10-20 years. Some worse than others. Check out 2013. First low 40's were October 19th but once it hit, it hit. This year was MUCH warmer than our current one up to this point. 2013-10-01 80 55 67.5 5.7 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-02 85 55 70.0 8.6 0 5 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-03 82 59 70.5 9.5 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-04 86 62 74.0 13.5 0 9 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-05 86 65 75.5 15.4 0 11 T 0.0 0 2013-10-06 85 66 75.5 15.8 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-07 75 53 64.0 4.7 1 0 0.74 0.0 0 2013-10-08 68 47 57.5 -1.4 7 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-09 62 46 54.0 -4.5 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-10 58 53 55.5 -2.6 9 0 4.02 0.0 0 2013-10-11 63 56 59.5 1.8 5 0 5.72 0.0 0 2013-10-12 70 59 64.5 7.2 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-13 69 53 61.0 4.1 4 0 0.01 0.0 0 2013-10-14 67 51 59.0 2.5 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-15 71 48 59.5 3.4 5 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-16 66 56 61.0 5.3 4 0 T 0.0 0 2013-10-17 71 58 64.5 9.1 0 0 0.25 0.0 0 2013-10-18 63 46 54.5 -0.5 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-19 62 41 51.5 -3.1 13 0 0.25 0.0 0 2013-10-20 61 41 51.0 -3.2 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-21 66 39 52.5 -1.4 12 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-22 60 39 49.5 -4.0 15 0 T 0.0 0 2013-10-23 51 36 43.5 -9.6 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-24 49 38 43.5 -9.3 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-25 53 36 44.5 -7.9 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-26 54 30 42.0 -10.1 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-27 56 35 45.5 -6.2 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-28 60 32 46.0 -5.3 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-29 59 36 47.5 -3.5 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-30 64 45 54.5 3.9 10 0 0.00 0.0 0 2013-10-31 67 52 59.5 9.2 5 0 0.05 0.0 0

65 and 63 here. Same story. Not hot but not crisp.

That may be using the old "normals" as that is a big difference on the lows vs. MDT. Highs are close. I took a random year of 2010 and the first date MDT hit the low 40's was on October 13th at 43. Some other years were lower/earlier or higher/later. I saw one year that hit 40 on Oct 1 and one year that stayed above 50 until the end of October.

The normal low at MDT today is 50.

Its great. Very little commercialization

The GFS actually did pretty well predicting the "coolish" temps this week. At least a few of the panels I looked at on and off.

If I were not so busy at work, I would be one of them. LIke I said, now is the best time to go to Gulf Coast beaches.

It's ok if you change your Icon to a TB Ray's logo. I will not be offended. LOL

12Z Nam does not answer the Saturday question....has the day look questionable but no specific qpf over the LSV.

Gene Hart :-)

64/63 at 10:30. Fall temps. Not fall DP's.

Jam some Elton John, Bee Gee's (Sargent Peppers Lonely Heart Club Band is an underrated movie) and Juice Newton?

Tell The Bangles and Billy Idol I said hello. LOL

I bet Training cannot wait to get home and spend 3 hours watching the Yanks and Sox.

I think the fences were moved in when Boston batted and taken back out when NY batted. Home field advantage.

LOL, thanks. No rain here in R'Ville

83.5 at Long Boat Key (beside Tampa). Bring your bath soap. LOL.