I was surprised when I woke up a little before 5AM and it was still rain or mostly rain. The rain was coming down as hard as a thunderstorm. My 2-4 call is going to bust low over your way and to the east of me.
Changed over here around 5:00AM. A crazy 1.25" of rain before the change. It woke me up twice i was coming down so hard. About 1.5" on the ground with heavy snow.
GFS still more of a Miller A so a much smaller screw zone. These global maps are smoothed over so some of the higher totals are probably elevation dependent.
The moose biscuits will probably be well East of me. But earlier that was almost a guarantee somewhere with the lift, temps being so close to freezing and the rapid deepening...if the storm keeps speeding up. I think it lessens it greatly.
On the current NWS Zones, the counties that need a Warning per the HRRR do not have it and many that have it, do not need it. Latest AFD has the words LSV and crosshairs near each other.