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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Chase to Caledonia? Anyone reading the maps and taking them as a forecast may be disappointed (or may not be). But if posting maps to talk model fun, I love it. LOL
  2. Late nooners....a quite chilly and wintery cloudy day and 35 degrees.
  3. WxUSAF jokingly states what many think each time the snow is to our north. Insert Binghamton for us. Tuck baby, TUCK!
  4. Definitely a NEISIS 3-4 potential as to that depiction. Would be a classic for Dec. #Blizzard of 22
  5. Juiced is synonymous with qpf amounts and SLP mb's. The CMC was about 3/4" total qpf (of which much is not snow in the LSV as you stated) while the Euro was close to double. The Euro depiction of the SLP was about 8-10mb lower than the CMC which scoots the storm out faster.
  6. And ironically that is not directly the same "storm" as the EC big snow.
  7. GFS and CMC not as impressed with potential for next week (GFS slides by to the south and CMC not as juiced as the Euro and warmer, both do drop some accum snow just nowhere near the Euro) but GFS spins up an LSV special Sat-Sun of next weekend. A system intensifies in the base of the trough and tucks into the Northeast Corridor.
  8. Up 9 with 27 ticks left. Then they needed ad to miss a ft. It was an epic collapse but they ruled ot.
  9. If Blizz takes off, who will run the air control tower at MDT? Those planes don't go over Maytown by accident.
  10. ESPN announcer: DeAnthony Melton, also known as Shake.
  11. Thye cold air potential on the models (Op's and ensembles) is quite impressive the last two weeks of the month. Not necessarily for depth/extreme of the cold in PA vs. the potential for such a large part of the nation to be cold.
  12. Queue the "we should not be looking at model to model runs" chatter. LOL. or "it's good to be in the game". LOL. Those are both top responses when more than 2-3 days away. LOL.
  13. The Euro tucks...not ideal for the LSV but most of the rest of PA is in for golden white abundance. The snowfall maps shows some decent totals at the northern edge of the LSV and some accumnulating other areas. A positive trend from 0Z though.
  14. Yea, I am not making any forecast or definitive statements, just a model PBP on one specific storm.
  15. Yea, snowing in NC with that type of block was not good when I just looked.
  16. No time to delve into this but Icon..defintely a weird evolution of low from Mid West to off the coast. I understand the block but that is a whole lot of strange regardless. The snowfall is surprisingly pedestrian using the Icon algo that accounts for the very marginal temps near 30.
  17. Yea, a lot of snow on this run. 12-18". Just a single run though, not a predict. The other one I said "Uh oh" just missed the timing with the High and is a mixed event but does not technically cut which is always good. it is also over 300 hours so only for model discussion.
  18. We keep kicking the can down the road a bit but following up on the EC predict for late next week, there is the 18Z GFS.
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