Bubbler86

I thought you said Nam, Flyers and all....had to read it again. Caps are in Philly. Ps, I forgot....do not answer, sorry.

If I remember correctly, the Nam was on a bit of an Island as well. I was not here to see it but remember doing some model following.

I was not here so do not remember it that well. @paweather got me with his pragmatic question...did not even think of it being the same day. Nice one. Not worth a kerfuffle though.

Jan '16? I know some people would be bitching about the first part when the FRZ changes to plain rain.

53 here approaching 2PM. HRRR seems like it may have been overstating temps this AM. Not much sun.

I would love to see some actual accums...upper levels can probably be helped but worried about where the surface nudge down would come from if the primary makes it into Ohio. The day before is really not that cold per all the progs so hard to defend CAD too much. Again, just a model discussion and not a forecast.

Afternoon Globals...Icon, CMC and GFS, all minor out Friday now but tease a bit with a late weekend white rain situation for Northern LSV and north...CMC is the snowiest of the 3. Surface temps in the mid 30's even Northern PA during this panel.

I have had to revert back to short sleeves. 52 and cloudy/foggy.

Today seems to be the warmest day progged for a bit so not too bad hopefully.

You had me drawn in to read at Kerfuffle!

The HRRR is quite warm for highs.

Mod to Heavy rain and 43 here this AM.

Seems to happen every year. I think your post is a good breakdown of model discussion vs weather discussion.

So_What's_Keeping so_whats_happening from joining in here. LOL

I posted my other post before reading this but I think it still applies. On sports, I truly like the team's I root for but have no personal angst against the team's others like..even the Eagles! Lol. The Eagles are stomping the league right now.

My post was more pointed toward when we have Met's (mostly not on AmWx but reposted here) continuously comparing patterns that are weeks out to historical years, it leads to disappointment quite often. The two posts I mentioned as being solid were less sensationalized. If you took my post as being directed at posters here, it was not for the most part. I did comment that posting single panels of the model of the night is just model discussion and not true scientific weather forecasting...and I do a lot of that because the model discussion is fun. I wanted to separate out that my post was NOT directed at that/model discussion. It is not my place to tell people here what to post outside of name calling type posts. I thought it was clear but I guess was not. We have so few posts here, if any one regular stopped posting the board would be really slow.

Ha. It seems every go fund me gets lots of money. Better than bitcoin! On your other post, not sure how sports came back up again but if a lot of people hate it, I would certainly have no issue stopping. When weather is slow it is fun to talk about other stuff and make this place one to look forward to visiting. So sorry I started the MU discussion again. I know he is not preaching snow and may not make some happy but He seemed to be in the minority a week or two ago yet as of now, his call seems pretty good for the first couple weeks at least. Much more responsible than some of the Twitter Mets who were maybe too sensationalized as of today MR models.

I know a lot here would pay cold cash for a White Christmas.

20% into the month and MDT is -1.7 so far.... for those that stuck their necks out and made a predict. I still think we have a shot of a BN normal month. MDT has not had a BN Dec since 2017/6 years ago when the month ended -3.2 with 6.1" of snow.

I watched the end of that game, and the Beard made some bad plays. Sixers are still a top team IMO though.

It is not wrong IMO ...and so far, he is looking like he made a good call for the first half of the month.

Just picked up a quick 1/2" of rain. Some stronger downpours embedded in this latest batch entering the Western LSV.

You have found a way to agree with coldinista's in the winter.

I did not notice meltdowns just a back pedaling of hopes for the next 1-2 weeks,,,mainly due to the TPV per some of the notes I read.

Would be great to see more realistic posts like MU and Mag's when talking about actual reasonable weather. I find nothing wrong with throwing up 200+ hour maps and saying "look what model X is showing" as a way to stimulate convo (I probably do it as much as anyone) but throwing them up and somehow suggesting something is a legit pattern or situation that is probably forthcoming does lead to a lot of overzealous thoughts and hopes. There is a difference between model discussion and weather discussion. Model PBP of 200 hours out is wrong a vast majority of the time but interesting if taken with a grain of salt.