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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    We ended up just under 2" here. A mild 40 right now. Central MD got all the rain they could possibly want. The run of the Euro that showed the Hecs/Mecs was right on precip totals just not temps. Radar estimated qpf totals.
  2. Bubbler86
    Florida's record low is -2 (negative 2) in Tallahassee. :-)
  3. Bubbler86
    It is literally 50 different ideas based on data that is purposely entered differently. I believe it is the same "software" as the EC being run at a lower resolution with purposely altered data to allow for evaluation of uncertainty in the Op. But some people like the dissection aspect of this hobby which is easier to do with the Op. So, to each their own but folks who like to talk Op runs are good too.
  4. Bubbler86
    We got down to 14 one night when I was in Ocala. That was the same year we had 1/2" of snow in January.
  5. Bubbler86
    Very true, just do not think we are able to dissect as many details from an ensemble run which is an average of 50 members (plus one control) who are fed different data than the OP to allow for evaluation of uncertainty. I think the ensembles are great to check up on the OP and see the odds that the Op is right, but if into model dissection, it is hard to do it with 51 solutions in one run.
  6. Bubbler86
    Ocala Florida has frozen and below freezing temps in their forecast around Christmas. Always a good sign of major cold here. This was sent to me, I do not use "The Bug".
  7. Bubbler86
    Fixed. .
  8. Bubbler86
    Plenty of Mec/Hec on the ensemble members. The eps ensembles use slightly different starting points (except the control I believe) to cover many options but with so many showing at least a mecs, probably suggests the ceiling allows it. The perfect phase issue makes the floor a bit lower as well.
  9. Bubbler86
    I think you accidentally posted this here and meant the MA board.
  10. Bubbler86
    LOL, the GFS is going to be a topic of convo for the next 6 hours. It is quite the neat little solution. Call the national guard.
  11. Bubbler86
    I wish I had vinca on my Bingo card.
  12. Bubbler86
    No one has pulled that out yet. 18Z GFS is rolling!
  13. Bubbler86
    1.6" now with a few local road closures for streams out of banks. They will recede quickly when the rain stops. The hard ground playing a part in it.
  14. Bubbler86
    I am already halfway done having my bingo card completely filled just from posts over the last 1-2 hours (several forums). Has to be a good sign.
  15. Bubbler86
    No true winter storm ever escapes the JMA's notice - JI 1998 on Eastern US Wx Board
  16. Bubbler86
    Holding steady at 34 here...mod rain. All ice is gone now but can see lots still up about 500 feet on the mountain.
  17. Bubbler86
  18. Bubbler86
    960 in Maine. Quite low pressure.
  19. Bubbler86
    Here is the Nam from 24 hours ago showing where it predicted snow for a few hours this afternoon...since we(some) were singing its praises. Cumberland, far Northern Adams and York, Dauphin, N Franklin, etc...even very close to NE Lancaster
  20. Bubbler86
    Some of mine are family. LOL
  21. Bubbler86
    I have 14 different spotters. FWIW, Nam has had Western Cumberland changing to snow early afternoon....so not too far from you.
  22. Bubbler86
    Nooners, 34 and heavy rain. 1.10" now. Just checked my contact part way up to high rock, at around 1500 feet, and they are 32 and Frz rain. No snow up there yet.
  23. Bubbler86
    A huge money saver then. Only need 3 parks to come out ahead.
  24. Bubbler86
    That would certainly limit the need for mosquito spray! LOL. We were at Assateague a few months ago. My wife does not know it, but she is getting a Nat Park pass for Christmas. Not paying to see the horses next time!
  25. Bubbler86
    On the positive it would save my/our eyes from seeing 'The Nam (Fv3) is not in range' anytime one tries to use it as a tool.
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