Bubbler86

Just spent 45 min covering and moving stuff. We bit into the 'Winter is gone for good" mantra (well the female side of the family did.) URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1252 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2023 PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>053-056>058-063>065-240500- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0002.230424T0400Z-230424T1300Z/ Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Cumberland-Adams- York- Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Carlisle, Gettysburg, and York 1252 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2023 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.

We get this to work out and we can pull the drought talk (along with a Soak this coming Friday).

The race is on now to see how much of the average high MDT can chop off to close the month. They are currently number one by .4 degrees at 58.7. The GFS and CMC both have MDT in the 30's or 40's every night to close the month with a couple days in the low to mid 60's for highs but more 50's for 1PM temps. Will probably get over 60 some of the 50's 1PM days. The average looks to come well down from the current number 1 spot.

Low of 38 last night. 46 right now. This AM's GFS is quite wet Thur and Friday this week. 1/2-1"

Now on to the forst, potted plant and pet warnings.

Will leave April with 3 mows. I think I am ahead of last year's pace.

For 5 dollars I will let you know!

Plow sparks flying in Marysville.

Braggert!

Some NWS reports as of latest readings I saw: THV: 2.01" MDT: 1.43" CXY: 1.01" LNS .50" HGR: .29"

Yep, going to be some grass growing even with potential frost.

I had thought you would have scored more but still not too shabby. I bet we see some varied totals like THV reporting a crazy 2+". The line really sparked up for central and eastern LSV.

Started raining a bit here again. Up to .38" now and with my closest NWS station only getting .27 so far, I am not too sad with my total. Some back building and congealing going on from Franklin County and East.

Svr warning for areas East of Lanco city.

I see the back building, but it is minimal over here. I was not in the Moderate drought over here so good for those that were. Help catch up some. It has been pouring through much of York, Lanco and Dauphin...parts of Cumberland.

Yea, the weather to our East looks crazy. I am most surprised by the early exit though.

Who would have thought it would be have stopped already out this way. HRRR has some lighter showers coming through later but 18Z cut way back from 12Z for West LSV.

I actually do not do that well with snow sometimes either but models were just showing 1/4 to 1/2" here and that is basically what happened but ending/just random showers much sooner than progged. I believe MDT actually had more snow than me this past winter. It is partly cloudy now. The heavier rain is well East of here around the Susq. I think the rain is way ahead timing wise for everyone. Adams starting to stop as well.

LSV looks lite up with heavy rain....main area of rain already done here. WAYYYYY early. Just 1/3". The meso's were warning the Western LSV was going to get the shaft. Just a 1 hour quick hitter. Sun is already peeking.

The grass is going to take off next week. This is not a drought buster but it is a mean, green rain machine.

Pouring at ABC in Gettysburg

Habitat for humanity set up downwind from Harrisburg to collect housing material they can reuse. Siding, shingles, etc.

12Z HRRR a little more sturdy than some others with rain from 3PM - 11PM. Nice distribution.

RRFS from this Am with rain starting in the LSV 12-1PM. Still raining central and Eastern LSV at the end of this panel but starting to wind down. Some areas of the West LSV get less than 1/4".

Looking at AM models, I think it is a risk to forecast over 1" area wide. I think frost next week is almost a given right now...3-4 potential nights. The freeze is the question.