Started raining a bit here again. Up to .38" now and with my closest NWS station only getting .27 so far, I am not too sad with my total. Some back building and congealing going on from Franklin County and East.
I see the back building, but it is minimal over here. I was not in the Moderate drought over here so good for those that were. Help catch up some. It has been pouring through much of York, Lanco and Dauphin...parts of Cumberland.
Who would have thought it would be have stopped already out this way. HRRR has some lighter showers coming through later but 18Z cut way back from 12Z for West LSV.
I actually do not do that well with snow sometimes either but models were just showing 1/4 to 1/2" here and that is basically what happened but ending/just random showers much sooner than progged. I believe MDT actually had more snow than me this past winter. It is partly cloudy now. The heavier rain is well East of here around the Susq. I think the rain is way ahead timing wise for everyone. Adams starting to stop as well.
LSV looks lite up with heavy rain....main area of rain already done here. WAYYYYY early. Just 1/3". The meso's were warning the Western LSV was going to get the shaft. Just a 1 hour quick hitter. Sun is already peeking.
RRFS from this Am with rain starting in the LSV 12-1PM. Still raining central and Eastern LSV at the end of this panel but starting to wind down. Some areas of the West LSV get less than 1/4".
Looking at AM models, I think it is a risk to forecast over 1" area wide. I think frost next week is almost a given right now...3-4 potential nights. The freeze is the question.
Meso's really playing up the line today and more of a fast front passing vs. steady rain now. 3K has rain starting at MDT around 2PM and over by 7PM. Some nice bands of rain but some losers out my way. April mowing is done if I do not get at least 1/2" today. Rgem has a more wide spread 1" or even more for the LSV and east with rain starting around lunch in Harrisburg and last after dark. Almost all suites have rain gone before midnight. Rgm has potential hard freeze Tue AM.
I am confident we get some good rains tomorrow. It will not be a drought buster IMO but a start. If the Md drought extends up north of Harrisburg there is going to be some mad grass lovers there!
I have not had a ton of time to look that closely. Severe does not interest me as much as others. I need to mow my yard today (#2) though so I hope nothing shows up here. I just looked and the HRRR does have hints as you suggested.
I am worried you may have just inflated him about taking susky pics that he might try to get a good one leaning over! If there are beavers would that be a beaver shot?