Bubbler86

Quite few small cells on radar. In and west of the LSV.

Worst case comment for Mr. Anderson since the final matrix movie.

A refreshing 59 this AM. Surprised it got so low. Up to 66 already though.

Except for a few spots, the mid-week and weekend did not live up to the model (and flood risk) hype so far but still glad to get rain for the vegetation.

I was watching. Crazy split. Sorry Mike. Monday still on the agenda though!

They are hitting up Maytown...York's Maytown. Fingers crossed you score.

Early nooners in Martinsburg WV. Pretty gross out. 80 and variable cloudy.

Still just .6 here so on the same boat as you. That is .6 over a 5-day period which means I lost ground to the drought as to ground water this week as I should have had .66...who would have thunk after all the gaudy forecats and earlier model love for big rains? The news is better for grass as the lack of sun has limited top level surface drying despite the limited rain compared to what was forecasted.

Speaking of models, the meso's have doubled down on the primary rains being done for the next couple days sans some widely scattered cells this afternoon and Sun afternoon. Graduation parties proceed with caution!

The following of the models makes the hobby fun for some...if they were always right it would be less exciting IMO. Most met's would not be needed either. Every friend I can think of knows how to read the GFS and specifically the precip panels.

Did you steal ITT pics? LOL

Some fairly thick irony there...getting soaked while removing the pump, which was there for the drought, because you fear for a flood.

12 of the 22 days have featured highs below 80. Lemonade, penny-farthing, and Gazebo weather.

66 and Varibly Cloudy at noon. Up to .6 now with a nice .2 hit this past hour. MDT has now had 17 BN and 5 AN day's for the month with a current -2.3 BN for the month.

Hardest rain all week right now. Water that grass!

Ditto. I gave up early.

Precipitation Potential Placement Precipitation Potential Placement is a derived parameter combining precipitable water and low-level mean RH to help better place where rainfall will occur. Research has been published in the National Weather Association Digest in 2003 and stems from research and operational use of this product originally developed at NESDIS and Rod Scofield for satellite rainfall estimates dating back to 1981. Rainfall is usually maximized where the best low level convergence and instability overlay with the highest values for this parameter. The risk for heavy rainfall increases as values go up. Additionally, thresholds for precipitation also change based on temperatures. Onset of rainfall ranges from around 0.3 inches with temperatures below 30 to 1.0 inches above 80. Values above 1.0-1.4 inches with temperatures below 60 usually increase the risk for heavy rainfall while values above 1.6-2.0 inches increase the risk for heavy rainfall events with temperatures above 60. For more information, see: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/research/finalPP2.htm

I always look up stuff a-la-carte when I read it (map specific) then forget and have to go back. Maybe someone knows of good tutorials for a larger scale read into it. This page has a lot of info. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/help/begin.html

Not sure about year but summer, I agree. Anything convective moving west to east has to deal with the Valley to my west as it passes out of the Allegheny's. I see a lot of disappearing stuff as it gets closer. I am fine with the .4" so far. More rain next week hopefully. I think I average a good 25% more than MDT in the winter as I live over 800' and rapidly rising (~1900' less than 5 min away) and wring out a lot of these systems that comes at us from the southwest.

12Z HRRR and 3K through Saturday daylight which is when most of the weekend rain would fall. Winners and losers look. Could be mostly over until next week for some of the unlucky which is me in both these depictions but still have hope for a bit more.

They all went to Florida....I just spoke to someone in Ocala. Almost 12" there in the last 60 hours.

When I was in G-Burg yesterday it was wet the entire time, I was there. Cross Blue Ridge summit back home, bone dry. It rained a bit over .1 last night but we had no rain all daylight yesterday.

You must have some other members of the board blocked. :-)

Maybe he meant to type .09? :-)

I have been able to stop watering myself so that part is good...just no help for the drought beyond less evaporation with the sub being obscured more. So little to no grass growth but maybe when the sun comes out.