Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The HRRR was never on the same page convection wise as the 3K was, this was just a farther step down/backwards. The 3K lost the squall line look and is more scattered now.
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Not going to take it literally but the 12Z HRRR is a nothing sandwich for most of the LSV.
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MDT stands at very close to normal with a 3.43 right now but that is mostly due to a big day on June 12th when many here did not get to "participate" so I bet a lot of posters are way below normal for June right now. MDT Norm is 3.33 as of today. I am well below that. My closest NWS @ HGR is 2.02" for the month right now. I have myself around 2.5".
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It is fairly sunny here now...just very high clouds. Still waiting for my first 90 degree day of the year. Have a shot today of it clears out.
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Satellite shows some clearing punching up over my area but not much over most of PA right now.
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The Cowboys are red hot.
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Wamer here now at 70 than any point last Wed when it stayed in the 50's and 60's. Has not rained here since Fri AM so hoping for the wet today.
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6Z Moved up the timing a few hours.
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That panel is 5PM
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Models are showing that chance right now. 3K is a monster.
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Right now, its humid. But models screwed up this weekend for many so let's play it out. We had about 80% full Sun Fri, Sat and Sunday.
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GFS nice going into the weekend, CMC warmer, but both more humid Sat and Sun and wet on Sun for GFS and Sat for CMC. 80's both days. GFS starts a fairly length heat wave on Tue.
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The 3K bring the hammer for all of us tomorrow. So, still hoping....after Tue things quiet down for several days. I am almost assured of hitting the halfway point of summer at 10 or less now. Seems unlikely I hit 20 this year. Saw one neighbor mow today...first mowing I saw in 2 weeks.
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I would be happy with a 1/4" of sweet rain. Stuck on mow 8 and no signs of going to 9.
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Yep, what was supposed to be a wet pattern has really failed so far....more so for some vs others. By failed I mean a wet pattern would at least be quite a bit above normal for a period. At least 1.75 or 2" over a 7-day period for June. Not many got that. Ground is dry here again and today has been the second hottest day of the summer over here. .6 in the last 7 days.
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Quite few small cells on radar. In and west of the LSV.
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Worst case comment for Mr. Anderson since the final matrix movie.
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A refreshing 59 this AM. Surprised it got so low. Up to 66 already though.
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Except for a few spots, the mid-week and weekend did not live up to the model (and flood risk) hype so far but still glad to get rain for the vegetation.
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I was watching. Crazy split. Sorry Mike. Monday still on the agenda though!
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They are hitting up Maytown...York's Maytown. Fingers crossed you score.
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Early nooners in Martinsburg WV. Pretty gross out. 80 and variable cloudy.
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Still just .6 here so on the same boat as you. That is .6 over a 5-day period which means I lost ground to the drought as to ground water this week as I should have had .66...who would have thunk after all the gaudy forecats and earlier model love for big rains? The news is better for grass as the lack of sun has limited top level surface drying despite the limited rain compared to what was forecasted.
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Speaking of models, the meso's have doubled down on the primary rains being done for the next couple days sans some widely scattered cells this afternoon and Sun afternoon. Graduation parties proceed with caution!
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The following of the models makes the hobby fun for some...if they were always right it would be less exciting IMO. Most met's would not be needed either. Every friend I can think of knows how to read the GFS and specifically the precip panels.
