Bubbler86

That panel is 5PM

Models are showing that chance right now. 3K is a monster.

Right now, its humid. But models screwed up this weekend for many so let's play it out. We had about 80% full Sun Fri, Sat and Sunday.

GFS nice going into the weekend, CMC warmer, but both more humid Sat and Sun and wet on Sun for GFS and Sat for CMC. 80's both days. GFS starts a fairly length heat wave on Tue.

The 3K bring the hammer for all of us tomorrow. So, still hoping....after Tue things quiet down for several days. I am almost assured of hitting the halfway point of summer at 10 or less now. Seems unlikely I hit 20 this year. Saw one neighbor mow today...first mowing I saw in 2 weeks.

I would be happy with a 1/4" of sweet rain. Stuck on mow 8 and no signs of going to 9.

Yep, what was supposed to be a wet pattern has really failed so far....more so for some vs others. By failed I mean a wet pattern would at least be quite a bit above normal for a period. At least 1.75 or 2" over a 7-day period for June. Not many got that. Ground is dry here again and today has been the second hottest day of the summer over here. .6 in the last 7 days.

Quite few small cells on radar. In and west of the LSV.

Worst case comment for Mr. Anderson since the final matrix movie.

A refreshing 59 this AM. Surprised it got so low. Up to 66 already though.

Except for a few spots, the mid-week and weekend did not live up to the model (and flood risk) hype so far but still glad to get rain for the vegetation.

I was watching. Crazy split. Sorry Mike. Monday still on the agenda though!

They are hitting up Maytown...York's Maytown. Fingers crossed you score.

Early nooners in Martinsburg WV. Pretty gross out. 80 and variable cloudy.

Still just .6 here so on the same boat as you. That is .6 over a 5-day period which means I lost ground to the drought as to ground water this week as I should have had .66...who would have thunk after all the gaudy forecats and earlier model love for big rains? The news is better for grass as the lack of sun has limited top level surface drying despite the limited rain compared to what was forecasted.

Speaking of models, the meso's have doubled down on the primary rains being done for the next couple days sans some widely scattered cells this afternoon and Sun afternoon. Graduation parties proceed with caution!

The following of the models makes the hobby fun for some...if they were always right it would be less exciting IMO. Most met's would not be needed either. Every friend I can think of knows how to read the GFS and specifically the precip panels.

Did you steal ITT pics? LOL

Some fairly thick irony there...getting soaked while removing the pump, which was there for the drought, because you fear for a flood.

12 of the 22 days have featured highs below 80. Lemonade, penny-farthing, and Gazebo weather.

66 and Varibly Cloudy at noon. Up to .6 now with a nice .2 hit this past hour. MDT has now had 17 BN and 5 AN day's for the month with a current -2.3 BN for the month.

Hardest rain all week right now. Water that grass!

Ditto. I gave up early.

Precipitation Potential Placement Precipitation Potential Placement is a derived parameter combining precipitable water and low-level mean RH to help better place where rainfall will occur. Research has been published in the National Weather Association Digest in 2003 and stems from research and operational use of this product originally developed at NESDIS and Rod Scofield for satellite rainfall estimates dating back to 1981. Rainfall is usually maximized where the best low level convergence and instability overlay with the highest values for this parameter. The risk for heavy rainfall increases as values go up. Additionally, thresholds for precipitation also change based on temperatures. Onset of rainfall ranges from around 0.3 inches with temperatures below 30 to 1.0 inches above 80. Values above 1.0-1.4 inches with temperatures below 60 usually increase the risk for heavy rainfall while values above 1.6-2.0 inches increase the risk for heavy rainfall events with temperatures above 60. For more information, see: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/research/finalPP2.htm

I always look up stuff a-la-carte when I read it (map specific) then forget and have to go back. Maybe someone knows of good tutorials for a larger scale read into it. This page has a lot of info. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/help/begin.html