Bubbler86

That is an easy one I think. Humid...probably not going to be dry and sunny but could dodge rain in any given place. LOL

King Nam in the 1/2-3/4" range for total qpf for most of the Eastern 1/2 of PA going into Friday. Has a bullseye for qpf Friday AM just south of Cumberland county but that is quite random. Fast cut off in qpf for the western 1/3 to 1/4 of the state.

The January 2016 United States blizzard produced up to 3 ft (91 cm) of snow in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States during January 22–24, 2016. A weather system, evolving from a shortwave trough that formed in the Pacific Northwest on January 19, consolidated into a defined low-pressure area on January 21 over Texas. Meteorologists indicated that a resultant storm could produce more than 2 ft (61 cm) of snow across a wide swath of the Mid-Atlantic region and could "paralyze the eastern third of the nation", and regarded it as a "potentially historic blizzard".[1][2] Winter weather expert Paul Kocin described the blizzard as "kind of a top-10 snowstorm".[3]

Who is staying up to watch the rain and your Hershey Hockey Bears tonight?

Rain already poking into Adams County (on radar.) 12Z HRRR flipped and now concentrating on the Eastern LSV for the first slug this afternoon and tonight.

The Easterlies are gusting over 30 here right now and with a temp of 57....its not comfortable.

To his defense the wind will be high and mighty from the East so it will be chilly to some...after I thought about it.

I had to include that gem. LOL

In fact, the June 22nd record low maximum, or "coldest high," temperature of 67°F from 1952 at Millersville may be challenged, tied, or even broken on Thursday. First, we experienced record-dry conditions in May. Next came the toxic smoke from Canadian wildfires and worst air quality in over two decades. That was followed by severe weather and a confirmed tornado in York County last week. Now, we may experience record-cool weather and be digging through the closet for jackets and sweatshirts.

On the meso side, the latest HRRR has rain entering the southern LSV just after lunch and advances Northwest from there. It mostly stays to the west of the Susq river. 3K timing is much later in the wee hours of Thursday Am and a much wider/broader band for most of Southern PA.

Initially it looked like this ULL was going to pile in moisture and we were bound to get nailed but the models keep backing off and we are losing our cushion between just showers and a big rain. Some of us may have to rely on tack on showers later in the week though the coverage and density of them is questionable as well.

The hotbox is not wearing a sweatshirt. LOL.

The 18Z 3K Caved to the 6Z 3K and delayed precip start again tomorrow.

Yea, I was just basing my comment on the GFS 18Z Panel.

The record for June 22nd is 65 so this panel could potentially challange though with these situations the high could be at night.

Smoke 'em if you got 'em. 2PM Temps 25 below normal highs.

That too.

The Rgem through mid day Friday is still not exactly screaming flood. The MA Screw zone would cause some howling. GFS slowed down the precip a bit for tomorrow...later afternoon for entering the LSV.

3K folded to the GFS and has rain spreading into the LSV mid-afternoon tomorrow.

Too early to count on HRRR qpf maps but the totals are indeed quite light though mid-day Thursday.

12Z HRRR starts the spread of rain into the LSV early evening tomorrow...in a sort of middle ground between Wed and Thur. By 10-11 most of the LSV in a rain shield.

Despite you being one of the groups younger posters (median wise), I totally concur on this topic. LOL.

The RWS says a 0 percent chance of rain any day is a risk not worth taking. But the GFS has consistently been bringing rain in tomorrow afternoon. But tomorrow night counts as tomorrow as well.

The RWS would not schedule any roof jobs tomorrow unless they can be done in 4 hours. LOL

The GFS has you all wet later tomorrow and tomorrow night. CMC and Icon, and Meso's a bit slower. Whether tomorrow or Thursday, that seems to be our best bet for steady rain area wide.