Bubbler86

Precipitation Potential Placement Precipitation Potential Placement is a derived parameter combining precipitable water and low-level mean RH to help better place where rainfall will occur. Research has been published in the National Weather Association Digest in 2003 and stems from research and operational use of this product originally developed at NESDIS and Rod Scofield for satellite rainfall estimates dating back to 1981. Rainfall is usually maximized where the best low level convergence and instability overlay with the highest values for this parameter. The risk for heavy rainfall increases as values go up. Additionally, thresholds for precipitation also change based on temperatures. Onset of rainfall ranges from around 0.3 inches with temperatures below 30 to 1.0 inches above 80. Values above 1.0-1.4 inches with temperatures below 60 usually increase the risk for heavy rainfall while values above 1.6-2.0 inches increase the risk for heavy rainfall events with temperatures above 60. For more information, see: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ffc/research/finalPP2.htm

I always look up stuff a-la-carte when I read it (map specific) then forget and have to go back. Maybe someone knows of good tutorials for a larger scale read into it. This page has a lot of info. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/help/begin.html

Not sure about year but summer, I agree. Anything convective moving west to east has to deal with the Valley to my west as it passes out of the Allegheny's. I see a lot of disappearing stuff as it gets closer. I am fine with the .4" so far. More rain next week hopefully. I think I average a good 25% more than MDT in the winter as I live over 800' and rapidly rising (~1900' less than 5 min away) and wring out a lot of these systems that comes at us from the southwest.

12Z HRRR and 3K through Saturday daylight which is when most of the weekend rain would fall. Winners and losers look. Could be mostly over until next week for some of the unlucky which is me in both these depictions but still have hope for a bit more.

They all went to Florida....I just spoke to someone in Ocala. Almost 12" there in the last 60 hours.

When I was in G-Burg yesterday it was wet the entire time, I was there. Cross Blue Ridge summit back home, bone dry. It rained a bit over .1 last night but we had no rain all daylight yesterday.

You must have some other members of the board blocked. :-)

Maybe he meant to type .09? :-)

I have been able to stop watering myself so that part is good...just no help for the drought beyond less evaporation with the sub being obscured more. So little to no grass growth but maybe when the sun comes out.

In one hour you almost doubled my total for the past 4-5 days. Pillow FTW.

Sat and Sun looking a drier now with just some late afternoon evening pop up stuff tomorrow and Sun (mesos.) Less than .10 overnight so sitting under 1/2" total so far here at ~ .4".

Gust to 25 out here.

Safe travels!

It is not windy over in Gettysburg either and it is raining there and not here (back home). Been totally dry here since this AM. So, I did not need the shirt after all as G-Burg is where I got out of the car. It was much more humid there than here.

It is windy over here so was not comfortable with short sleeves but did go with shorts. Only 59. MDT got to 65 or 66 so no clean records/no records today.

I am about to head out and am wearing long sleeves just to be comfortable.

I know better than to wisecrack with ITT and rain totals. He will bring the boom.

I just checked two local Wunderground reports, and one was .27 and the other .42 so quite the difference in a small area. If you saw my "Only .9 comment" before I just fixed it, you should have scolded me for saying only in reply to ITT who really only had .17. LOL

Typo, sorry. I did have the Only in there but meant to say .29. Just corrected. I am surprised someone did not ding more for over estimating.

We definitely did not have anywhere near 1/2".

My take on this is that 1) It is through Tue at 8AM 2) The burn bad is really based on surface wetness (there goes another one for the masses) while 2 of the 4 stats used for the drought monitor are more about longer term items like ground water and streams. The rain this week has been nice for the grass but will do nothing to change the drought stats when you need about 1/4" of rain every other day just to stay even.

12Z Suite mostly underwhelming for rain through the end of the weekend...about 1/2" on average. With that said, D2 introduced for a small part of the LSV. Northeast Drought Summary Much of the Northeast experienced below average daytime high temperatures this week. Several locations in interior portions of the Northeast also received well above normal rainfall totals, leading to improvements in the drought depiction, particularly across northern New England and parts of Upstate New York. Some locations in southeastern Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia also experienced improving drought conditions, associated with a couple of rounds of heavy rainfall, totaling in excess of 2 inches for the week. Unfortunately, short-term dryness leading up to this week warranted further degradation of drought and abnormal dryness (D0) across southern New England and the Mid-Atlantic from the I-95 corridor eastward to the Atlantic Coast.

@sauss06 or whoever may know, why did the Bears on the bench have to run down a tunnel to get to the ice? Did they just tell the line on the ice they had the next 4 min and send everyone else back to the locker room? LOL.

@TimB

High so far at MDT is 61. 65 is the record right now. 58 here.