Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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It is not my intention to complain. .01 here giving me 2.86 in the last 40ish days. Tonight's chances seem much less widespread. GFS still dry overall/long-term concentrating precip where it is not needed in NE PA.
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When you get very little rain and sarcastically declare the drought over...sometimes followed up by ark jokes. Sometimes a good sarcastic post deserves follow up recognition.
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Lightly raining. Should be more than a T but probably not going to exceed .01 or .02. Not to look a gift horse in the mouth but will not do anything to help the grass...on to the next chance tomorrow night. This one is going down as an MJS drought over special.
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He is the group medicine man. No rain here at all though we could get a light accum or T'ed up here shortly.
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@Jns2183 10pm in brown town. You asked for a report. Lol.
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Your reverse mojo method of getting rain is stuff of legend. You are like a modern Indian rain dancer.
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Hrrr has rain here so waiting it out. Nada so far. Raining in Mechanicsburg again.
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This is still a frickin joy ride compared to 2020.
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Welcome to Convection Radar Club. The first rule of Convection Radar Club is: you do not talk about rain until it is falling from the sky.
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Bad news for potatoes on the 18Z HRRR
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One of his neighbors must have left their fridge door open.
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DP/radar combo
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When I picked the random MDT month to review, last week, 1988 stands out a lot more to me than something like a 1936. Not as much for averages which were held back a bit by a few nice days mixed in vs. a hot stretch. 14 of 15 days over 90 and 4 over 100. 1936 at MDT did have 4 days 100 and over but only a total of 9 days 90 and over for the entire month. 1988 had 16 days 90 and over.
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The nonscientific eye test for all locations shows 31 total dates of which 22 happened since 2000. Pretty easy to get the idea there. To make it worse, if you add just one year and go back to 1999 you have 24 out of 31 or 77% in a 25 year period. The top two only being 59 and 66 years seemingly dilutes it a bit but not really. Just take the bottom two....16 of the 20, or 80%, have happened in the last 25 years. 2023 TBD of course.
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12Z 3K and HRRR favor the western and North Central LSV with the rain tonight. 12Z GFS goes Uber dry after Friday. The RGEM has quite a bit of LSV coverage this evening.
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Single digit mow count. It had started to grow after the rain 8 days ago but has sunk back down again. That notice we got from the water company tried to play off the "Do not water your grass" by saying if you water it the roots get weak. I am sure there is some science behind that, but the grass does not go dormant and just sit there like that. Unlike in the winter when it is frozen, the summer sun dries it out and eventually kills it.
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Late nooners...filtered sunshine and 80. Close to as smokey as it has been this summer. State of the grass below (not under shade).
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Yep, it was a day or so before the event. A lot of models were bailing at that point. The FFW, though not hurting anyone, did surprise me. Easier to say now after it is over.
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Columbus day?
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I have not gone back to check but do remember it was one of the initial few that suggested the FFW's were mostly over kill. It has not done that well other times I have looked at it including over stating rain a lot early summer. Unscientifically I feel like it has been a Spring and Summer for models.
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Peaking over the "top of the earth."
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Mine really depends on the wind :-). With no wind then low 30's...with wind then 50-60. Smokey here as well.
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Maybe we score tomorrow night.
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After 7 days in a row of only .03 total, I will take the chance at least. But yea lottery.
