Since it was pointed out that the Euro had a right call the other day I just checked it and it suggests Lanco get their FFW's going. It's training time as the front stalls in East PA early Friday AM. A very small amount of that in most of Lanco is today, most Friday AM.
12Z Nooner Model parsing suggests Thursday night is looking lean outside NE PA. Globals show LSV rain but the meso's (except Fv3) tell the true story of the energy currently being progged to focus more North of the LSV area.
Had a quick hitting, small cell go right over us to the tune of close .2". Largest rain in 10 days. 3.05" now in the last 40ish days. Looks like a lot of the central part of Lanco got smashed when that same small cell turned into a large complex.... with some over 1" totals on WU. Every bit counts when looking at the GFS for the next 2 weeks.
Every model except the GFS and Fv3 shows rain for some of the LSV tonight. Weird to remove it. The Nam, not on a hot streak, drops 1" in Lanco. Even Dr No has LSV rain. The 3K suggest FFW's should be posted with near 2" in some locations.
These past FFW's were a pretty big bust for most. Do not blame them for using meteorology instead of just modelogy but there was not a lot of model support for their decisions.