Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I have this hanging in my place...confounds people when they look at it as it is hard to read a map with this orientation as well as minimizing many of the big LSV cities. I find that focusing on the M/D line helps me with orientation a bit when looking at it. I love old man winter blowing winds from the NE and South.
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I doubt it being on the line between D1 and D0 last time, but the area is bigger than 2020. Most of Central MD especially to my South and Southeast are in the same boat. Some of them were D2 last week.
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Those 2-4" progs North of Harrisburg would cause flooding with the amounts of rain they have already had. Think you will still be in a drought (D0) on the map this AM? I think D1 for my area though it is really D2 or D3 within my small area. I am over 10" behind for the year now. 2-3" behind for June and July alone.
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There are some others which have nothing in your area. One had 4-6" just east of Harrisburg. A forecasting mess.
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According to multiple mesos and globals, some areas north of Harrisburg to the NY line could see 2-4" in the next 24 hours.
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I hate when we cannot trust radar. The dbz's over maytown were fairly impressive. But the radar illusions/issues have been more than just a few times recently.
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Radar shows you getting into the rain now? I have a reading of over 1" just east of York.
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Central Eastern York County is getting drenched. FFW?
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Safe travels. Heads up Harrisburg.
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I would not be smiling if I got 1/2", FYI.
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Man, you are just asking for abuse! LOL.
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Since it was pointed out that the Euro had a right call the other day I just checked it and it suggests Lanco get their FFW's going. It's training time as the front stalls in East PA early Friday AM. A very small amount of that in most of Lanco is today, most Friday AM.
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It was a prime period just a day or two ago so still watching. In the meantime, here is USGS getting the drought map ready for tomorrow AM
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12Z Nooner Model parsing suggests Thursday night is looking lean outside NE PA. Globals show LSV rain but the meso's (except Fv3) tell the true story of the energy currently being progged to focus more North of the LSV area.
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It took my apparently limited brain a few seconds to grasp that...I kept thinking of the Pope riding in his bubble popemobile.
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Some rain in southern York now as well. 84 here.
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https://www.coursehero.com/file/29946581/Snow-Storm-of-2009pdf/ One page free
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It was worth it just to hear someone say Tomfoolery. Mine looks similar under trees.
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There is a complex that does rain quite a bit in NE PA Thursday night but over the next 2 weeks it is mostly lottery based after that.
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Had a quick hitting, small cell go right over us to the tune of close .2". Largest rain in 10 days. 3.05" now in the last 40ish days. Looks like a lot of the central part of Lanco got smashed when that same small cell turned into a large complex.... with some over 1" totals on WU. Every bit counts when looking at the GFS for the next 2 weeks.
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There is quite a large shield of precip in WV right now.
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Every model except the GFS and Fv3 shows rain for some of the LSV tonight. Weird to remove it. The Nam, not on a hot streak, drops 1" in Lanco. Even Dr No has LSV rain. The 3K suggest FFW's should be posted with near 2" in some locations.
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I am certainly not counting on the meso to get the location right but think some of us see rain in the next 12 hours.
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Meso's keep suggesting there will be rain tonight/tomorrow AM.
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Recent weather events have led Mike Lindell to consider different options to save his company
