Bubbler86

FedEx is training their workers/drivers to handle themselves if called scabs by striking UPS employees. I doubt they go on strike either but would be big if they did.

Broadway shut down again? https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/20/business/broadway-strike/index.html

Model trust....which model does every one check first as the one they trust the most say for mid-term weather or short-term? I just went to look for the DP's on Sunday and I go to the GFS just out of habit. If it was for Friday, I would pick the HRRR. I like the Nam but mostly for stormy situations. It is too cool with nice day temps. So, for me, I go to the GFS midterm and HRR for under 24 hours. Rarely check the Euro anymore.

Welcome to D0!

With the ULL spinning to our north I say you are probably good but should keep the stink eye to your NE. The HRRR. RRFS and WRF also develop a scattered line of storms that goes through or near Lanco around lunch.

USGS pointing out that some farmers are going to lose their corn. Northeast Drought Summary Heavy rains again soaked much of the Northeast Region last week. Very little dryness remains to the east of a line from the Chesapeake Bay to the east shore of Lake Ontario, with D1 confined to a few spots in south New Jersey and in part of the New York City metro. Heavy rains in the central Appalachians have also nearly eliminated dryness in West Virginia. But large dry areas persist from northern Virginia and Maryland northward through western sections of Pennsylvania and New York, with severe drought (D2) covering central Maryland and adjacent south-central Pennsylvania. According to USDA, 33 percent of pastures in Maine are in poor or very poor condition, as are 16 percent of Pennsylvania’s pastureland. Full Summary

I have this hanging in my place...confounds people when they look at it as it is hard to read a map with this orientation as well as minimizing many of the big LSV cities. I find that focusing on the M/D line helps me with orientation a bit when looking at it. I love old man winter blowing winds from the NE and South.

I doubt it being on the line between D1 and D0 last time, but the area is bigger than 2020. Most of Central MD especially to my South and Southeast are in the same boat. Some of them were D2 last week.

Those 2-4" progs North of Harrisburg would cause flooding with the amounts of rain they have already had. Think you will still be in a drought (D0) on the map this AM? I think D1 for my area though it is really D2 or D3 within my small area. I am over 10" behind for the year now. 2-3" behind for June and July alone.

There are some others which have nothing in your area. One had 4-6" just east of Harrisburg. A forecasting mess.

According to multiple mesos and globals, some areas north of Harrisburg to the NY line could see 2-4" in the next 24 hours.

I hate when we cannot trust radar. The dbz's over maytown were fairly impressive. But the radar illusions/issues have been more than just a few times recently.

Radar shows you getting into the rain now? I have a reading of over 1" just east of York.

Central Eastern York County is getting drenched. FFW?

Safe travels. Heads up Harrisburg.

I would not be smiling if I got 1/2", FYI.

Man, you are just asking for abuse! LOL.

Since it was pointed out that the Euro had a right call the other day I just checked it and it suggests Lanco get their FFW's going. It's training time as the front stalls in East PA early Friday AM. A very small amount of that in most of Lanco is today, most Friday AM.

It was a prime period just a day or two ago so still watching. In the meantime, here is USGS getting the drought map ready for tomorrow AM

12Z Nooner Model parsing suggests Thursday night is looking lean outside NE PA. Globals show LSV rain but the meso's (except Fv3) tell the true story of the energy currently being progged to focus more North of the LSV area.

It took my apparently limited brain a few seconds to grasp that...I kept thinking of the Pope riding in his bubble popemobile.

Some rain in southern York now as well. 84 here.

https://www.coursehero.com/file/29946581/Snow-Storm-of-2009pdf/ One page free

It was worth it just to hear someone say Tomfoolery. Mine looks similar under trees.

There is a complex that does rain quite a bit in NE PA Thursday night but over the next 2 weeks it is mostly lottery based after that.